📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/07/02)

BTC remains within a descending channel; key levels above and below are clear—short-term setups can be phased in!

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【1D】

Trend: Consolidation with bearish bias. Daily price sits under the channel midline, 108,000 resistance holds, RSI ~49, Stoch rolling over, MACD slightly negative.

🔻 Shorts:

🛑 SL: 108,000 (break above descending trendline flips bullish)

🟢 Add: 107,000 (near daily 20 EMA, not triggered), 106,500 (above Pivot P, not triggered)

🚨 Breakdown Entry: 105,500 (Pivot P)

🎯 Targets: 102,470 (S1), 96,584 (S2), 93,555 (S3)

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【4H】

Trend: Medium bearish. 4H chart trading below EMA9/21 and Pivot P, RSI 38, MACD negative, bearish momentum dominant.

🔻 Shorts:

🛑 SL: 106,400 (break above EMA9/21 flips bullish)

🟢 Add: 105,600 (VWAP, triggered), 105,500 (Pivot P, not triggered)

🚨 Breakdown Entry: 105,200 (recent low)

🎯 Targets: 104,800, 104,300, 103,800

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【1H】

Trend: Small bearish. 1H price remains under EMA9/21, RSI 41, Stoch oversold, DMI favors bears.

🔻 Shorts:

🛑 SL: 105,750 (break above EMA9 flips bullish)

🟢 Add: 105,600 (VWAP, triggered), 105,500 (Pivot P, not triggered)

🚨 Breakdown Entry: 105,500 (Pivot P)

🎯 Targets: 105,100, 104,500, 104,000

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【Strategy Summary】

Recommendations:

1. Daily: Keep a short bias in the descending channel; scale into shorts at 108,000–107,000; break below 105,500 extends to 102,470/96,584/93,555.

2. 4H: Short into 105,600–105,500 rebounds; SL 106,400; targets 104,800/104,300/103,800.

3. 1H: After oversold bounce, add shorts; SL 105,750; cap sizing at 30%.

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