📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/07/02)

BTC is consolidating under a divergence between bulls and bears; maintaining key moving averages and pivotal support will guide short, medium, and long-term trends!

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【1h】

Trend: Small Bullish. Price is above EMA9/EMA21 and VWAP, MACD histogram is positive, RSI is slightly bullish, but Stoch is overheated and ADX is declining, indicating limited short-term momentum.

🔹 Long Position Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: 106633 (EMA200)

🟢 Add Long: 106871 (VWAP, triggered), 105499 (Pivot P, not triggered)

🚀 Breakout to Add Long: 111385

🎯 Take Profit: 111385, 114414, 120301

【4h】

Trend: Small Bullish. Price has returned above all moving averages, MACD and RSI are recovering, gaining support from VWAP, but nearing resistance at 111385, short-term bullishness requires caution against pullbacks.

🔹 Long Position Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: 105499 (Pivot P)

🟢 Add Long: 106871 (VWAP, triggered), 106986 (EMA21, triggered)

🚀 Breakout to Add Long: 111385

🎯 Take Profit: 111385, 114414, 120301

【12h】

Trend: Moderate Bearish. The medium-term downtrend channel continues; although prices have rebounded back to EMAs, they remain constrained by the upper boundary of the channel, and the overall advantage for bears has not changed.

🔻 Short Position Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: 111385 (Channel Upper Boundary/Resistance)

🟢 Add Short: 107068 (VWAP, triggered), 106688 (EMA21, triggered)

🚨 Breakdown to Add Short: 105499 (Pivot P)

🎯 Take Profit: 102470, 96584, 93555

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【Strategy Summary】

Operational Suggestions:

1. For 1h short-term, consider lightly buying in the 106871–105499 range, with a stop loss at 106633 and an initial target of 111385.

2. If a volume breakout occurs above 111385 in 4h, add to long positions, with a stop loss at 105499 and medium-term targets of 114414, 120301.

3. In the 12h medium-term bearish channel, if 111385 is not broken, consider shorting in batches upon rebounds to VWAP/EMA, and if it breaks below 105499, add to shorts, targeting 102470, 96584.