📈 $BTC (2025-07-01 08:45)｜Long/Short Trend Index: 65 / 100 (Consolidating Bias)

BTC short-term surged to the 108,300 level and then faced resistance, with prices retracing to the 107,200 area. MACD multi-period momentum is synchronously declining, and RSI indicators have all fallen below the midpoint. The market shows a clear wait-and-see attitude, with insufficient momentum for further breakthroughs. Overall trend maintains a neutral to bullish bias, but short-term correction pressure is gradually emerging, and attention needs to be paid to the effectiveness of support.

🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Judgment:

15-minute chart: short-term high retracement, MACD death cross momentum strengthens, RSI falls to 48.4, short-term turning weak;

1-hour chart: multiple highs hit resistance at the 108,300 area, MACD turns green, RSI drops to 45.5, short-term pressure rising;

4-hour chart: gradually retraces to MA25, MACD momentum weakens but has not fully turned negative, RSI pulls back to 49.9, at a critical point;

Daily chart: after retracement, the closing remains above MA25, MACD golden cross begins to converge, RSI drops to 54.9, trend shows slight fatigue;

Weekly chart: long-term upward structure remains intact, MACD maintains golden cross but momentum bars slow down, RSI slightly drops to 62.0, upward momentum slows but has not weakened.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:

MACD: 15m/1H death cross signal is clear, 4H and daily momentum slows down, weekly still maintains upward trend, but momentum narrows, beware of short-term correction risk;

RSI: 15m falls to 48, 1H breaks the midpoint, 4H and daily approach the 50 mark, indicating cautious sentiment;

Moving Average System: prices oscillate around MA25, MA7 on 1H and 4H charts break below MA25, trend noticeably weakens;

Trading Volume: increased volume has not continued, recent volume contraction indicates the market has entered a wait-and-see period, lacking incremental momentum.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 hours):

1. [Reuters June 30 20:10] Fed governor says "September rate cut remains an open option," but needs more data for confirmation;

2. [The Block June 30 21:05] Some BTC futures open interest has significantly decreased, short-term leveraged funds are fleeing;

3. [CoinDesk June 30 22:00] Coinbase on-chain data shows slight recovery in net inflow of BTC into exchanges, short-term chips are loosening;

4. [CNBC June 30 23:00] US stocks adjusted during the session, Dow Jones slightly retraced, overall market risk preference is easing.