BTC just swept the downside liquidity and is now hovering above the psychological $100 K handle. From here I’m eyeing two possible paths:
1️⃣ Bull-trap scenario – This pop could be bait to load up retail longs before the market yanks the floor again.
2️⃣ Recovery scenario – We might be seeing genuine strength as the war-driven shock fades.
Right now I’m leaning toward #1 (higher probability). Direction is still murky and the tape will likely whip around to trap both sides until real news pushes us decisively up or down.
How I’m playing it:
Keep position sizes small until the dust settles.
Add to spot holdings on dips—slow accumulation still makes sense here.
Stay alert for headline bombs that could flip the script in a heartbeat.
Trade safe, don’t feed the traps, and remember: capital preservation > hero trades. 🛡️
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