📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/06/30)

Markets at a crossroads – watch channel boundaries and EMA200 for the next big move!

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【Timeframe】12H

Trend: Consolidating inside a descending channel; EMA200 at 100,283 provides support, slight bearish bias but no clear directional breakout.

🔹 Longs:

🛑 Stop:100,283

🟢 Add:102,470 (Pending), 100,283 (Pending)

🚀 Breakout entry:109,000

🎯 Targets:111,385; 114,414; 120,301

🔻 Shorts:

🛑 Stop:109,000

🟢 Add short:108,414 (Pending), 108,000 (Pending)

🚨 Breakdown entry:102,470

🎯 Targets:96,584; 93,556

【Timeframe】4H

Trend: Bearish channel structure, capped by EMA9/21 and mid-channel resistance; MACD and DMI favor downside.

🔻 Shorts:

🛑 Stop:107,404

🟢 Add short:107,404 (Pending), 107,613 (Pending)

🚨 Breakdown entry:105,049

🎯 Targets:102,470; 96,584; 93,556

【Timeframe】1H

Trend: EMA9/21 death cross on 1H, RSI/Stoch in oversold territory, momentum skewed lower.

🔻 Shorts:

🛑 Stop:107,628

🟢 Add short:107,397 (Pending), 107,628 (Pending)

🚨 Breakdown entry:105,499

🎯 Targets:102,470; 96,584; 93,556

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【Strategy Summary】

Recommendations:

- Scale into longs at the 12H channel floor/EMA200 zone (100,283–102,470) with ~20% exposure; stop at 100,283, target 111,385/114,414.

- Layer into shorts on 4H/1H rebounds into EMA9/21 (107,404–107,628); stop at 107,628, target 102,470/96,584.

- Add to shorts on breakdown below 105,049 (4H) and 105,499 (1H), keeping total risk ≤20%.

- Key triggers: breakout above 109,000 or breakdown below 102,470 – follow the trend with strict stops and position sizing.

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