Bitcoin and Ethereum 6.28 Saturday Midnight Market Analysis and Trading Strategy

I. Intraday Market Review and Trading Results

Today, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) showed a fluctuating downward pattern. Bitcoin rebounded after hitting a low of $106,762 in the morning, faced resistance at $107,445 in the afternoon, and fell again to $107,044 in the evening; Ethereum followed a similar trend, with an intraday low of $2,405 and a high of $2,431, retreating to $2,419 in the evening. Based on the high-short strategy guidance, real-time operations successfully captured the intraday fluctuation space, validating the short-term bearish dominance logic.

II. In-depth Technical Analysis

1. Indicator Signals: In the MACD indicators for BTC and ETH, the DIF line and DEA line formed a death cross above the zero axis, with the red momentum bars weakly increasing and then decaying, releasing a short-term bearish signal; the RSI indicator shows that BTC rebounded to 58 before quickly falling back to 52, with ETH also retreating from its high, confirming the lack of bullish momentum.

2. Pattern Analysis: Bitcoin's price has been continuously fluctuating around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands ($107,200), with the channel bandwidth significantly narrowing, suggesting that the market is about to experience a directional breakthrough. If it effectively breaks below the support level of $106,500, it may trigger an accelerated downward trend.

III. Midnight Trading Strategy Deployment

(A) Bitcoin (BTC) Operation Suggestions

- Short Position Strategy: It is recommended to set up short positions near $107,800, with a stop-loss set at $108,200 (breaking the upper Bollinger Band), targeting $106,000 (previous low support level).

- Risk Reminder: Pay attention to the short-term resistance at $107,500; if the price strongly breaks through, the strategy needs to be adjusted.

(B) Ethereum (ETH) Operation Suggestions

- Short Position Strategy: Enter short positions near $2,450, with a stop-loss set at $2,470 (recent rebound high), targeting $2,380 (key daily-level support).

- Risk Reminder: Be cautious of the effectiveness of the short-term support at $2,430; if it breaks, consider reducing positions appropriately.

IV. Risk Control and Trading Tips

1. Trend Confirmation: The current market is at a critical turning point; it is recommended to strictly implement stop-losses to avoid blindly bottom-fishing;

2. Breakthrough Response: If the price reverses and breaks through key resistance levels (BTC $108,500, ETH $2,480), a trend-following strategy can be adopted;

3. Position Management: Control the position size of a single trade to 2%-3% to guard against extreme market risks.