Bitcoin and Ethereum June 28th Saturday Midnight Market Analysis and Trading Strategy
I. Intraday Market Review
Today, Bitcoin (BTC) exhibited a pattern of "rebound meets resistance + fluctuating downward" during the day, rebounding after hitting a low of $106,762 in the morning, then rising to a high of $107,445 in the afternoon before retreating, with an evening low of $107,044. Ethereum (ETH) followed a similar trend, finding support at $2,405 in the morning, reaching a high of $2,431 before facing pressure, and dropping to a low of $2,419 at night. Based on precise layout of high-short strategies, intraday trading successfully captured the phase adjustment space.
II. In-Depth Technical Analysis
1. Key Indicator Signals
- MACD: The DIF lines of BTC and ETH both crossed below the DEA line above the zero axis, forming a dead cross, with the red momentum bars continuously shrinking, releasing short-term bearish signals;
- RSI: The RSI indicator for BTC quickly fell back to 52 after rebounding to 58, indicating weakness in bullish buying, with market sentiment turning cautious;
- Bollinger Bands: BTC prices fluctuated narrowly around the middle band of $107,200, with the Bollinger Bands significantly narrowing, indicating that the market is about to face a directional breakout. If it effectively breaks below the lower band of $106,500, it may open up a new round of downward space.
2. Trend Judgment
Short-term shorts dominate, with prices repeatedly pressured at key resistance levels, but caution is needed for sudden reversal risks in narrow fluctuations.
III. Midnight Trading Strategy
(A) Bitcoin (BTC)
- Entry Point: Layout short positions near $107,800;
- Stop-Loss Setting: Above $108,200;
- Target Prices: First target $107,000, second target $106,000.
(B) Ethereum (ETH)
- Entry Point: Intervene in short positions near $2,450;
- Stop-Loss Setting: Above $2,470;
- Target Prices: First target $2,420, second target $2,380.
IV. Risk Warning
1. The market is at a critical point of change; beware of false breakout risks that lure in bullish positions, and it is recommended to strictly enforce stop-losses;
2. Weekend liquidity is low, market fluctuations may intensify, and position control is necessary to avoid over-trading;
3. If BTC effectively breaks through $108,500, and ETH breaks through $2,480, timely adjustment of strategies to chase rising prices is required.
The above strategies are based on current technical analysis; the market is ever-changing, and trading decisions should be adjusted dynamically in conjunction with real-time market conditions.