📊 Overall market picture:
Market capitalization: $3.29 trillion
↪ Moderate recovery after correction, but it remains under pressure since early June.
Daily trading volume: $82.03 billion
↪ Volumes remain stable but do not signal the start of an active growth phase.
CoinMarketCap Index 100: $202.59 (+0.72%)
↪ Growth in the index indicates slight interest in major liquid altcoins.
📉 Market capitalization chart:
Starting from June 11, there was a surge in market capitalization achieved due to the growth of BTC and partially ETH. However, by June 15–17, a correction began due to decreasing interest in risky assets and rising volatility.
The market is currently in a consolidation phase after a short-term decline. A possible local bottom is forming around $3.25T.
🧠 Sentiment index:
Fear & Greed Index: 49 (Neutral)
↪ Investors have taken a wait-and-see position. No panic, but also little enthusiasm.
↪ Movements are limited to a range — sideways dynamics prevail.
🌐 Alt-season:
Alt-season index: 21/100 — still Bitcoin season
↪ Interest in altcoins is waning, despite separate surges (SUI, XRP, LTC).
↪ BTC's share of market capitalization remains high — 64.9%.
🧭 Dominance:
BTC: 64.9%
ETH: 8.9%
Others: 26.2%
🟠 Sustained BTC dominance indicates a decrease in investors' willingness to take on risky positions such as altcoins.
💸 Net capital inflow:
+ $578.7 million (June 27)
↪ Stable positive cash flow in the crypto sector.
↪ This is not an "explosive" growth, but an important sign of interest from institutions and large holders.
📈 Open interest and volatility:
Open interest (OI):
Perpetual contracts: $734.29B
Futures: $2.3B
↪ High open interest amid sideways price movement could be a signal for a potential breakout in either direction.
Implied volatility:
BTC: 39.01
ETH: 66.03
ETH shows significantly higher expected volatility, indicating the possibility of strong movements and potentially — trading opportunities.
⚠ High RSIs (above 60) — pullback possible.
📉 Low RSIs (below 40) — assets may be in accumulation phase.
📊 RSI analysis of the top 20 cryptocurrencies with a forecast of movement direction for June 28, 2025
No Coin RSI (summary analysis) Current state 📈 Likely movement
1 BTC 49 → 53 → 57 → 58 → 56 Moderately overheated, RSI consistently high 🔼 Growth with risk of pullback
2 ETH 49 → 50 → 52 → 47 → 46 All RSIs around neutral 🔄 Consolidation
3 XRP 48 → 62 → 59 → 53 → 61 High RSI, especially 1h/24h 🔽 Possible pullback
4 BNB 44 → 51 → 54 → 51 → 49 Balance between neutral and upper boundary 🔄 Consolidation with upward bias
5 SOL 53 → 63 → 58 → 52 → 48 RSI shows buying pressure 🔼 Growth possible
6 USDC 58 → 56 → 56 → 55 → 56 As a stable stablecoin, RSI is even ⚪ Sideways (naturally)
7 TRX 49 → 61 → 58 → 53 → 52 Upper zone, but not overheated 🔼 Slight growth
8 DOGE 38 → 50 → 49 → 42 → 38 Lower bound across all time frames 🔼 Possible upward reversal
9 ADA 38 → 47 → 44 → 36 → 34 All RSIs very low 🔼 Strong growth potential
10 WBTC 49 → 52 → 57 → 58 → 56 RSI mirrors BTC 🔼 Growth with caution
11 BCH 31 → 40 → 46 → 60 → 61 Sharp rise in RSI on higher time frames 🔼 Growth, but overbought
12 SUI 58 → 58 → 46 → 42 → 42 Downward RSI momentum 🔽 Decline/consolidation
13 LINK 48 → 52 → 50 → 50 → 46 All RSIs around neutral 🔄 Consolidation
14 AVAX 44 → 52 → 48 → 43 → 40 Under pressure, but not critically 🔄 Weak consolidation
15 XLM 45 → 53 → 47 → 40 → 36 RSI decline with increasing time frame 🔼 Growth potential
16 TON 34 → 49 → 45 → 41 → 38 Very low RSIs 🔼 High probability of growth
17 SHIB 50 → 55 → 50 → 43 → 41 RSI "exhales" 🔽 Slight decline
18 LTC 54 → 58 → 50 → 48 → 48 RSI starts to decline 🔽 Correction possible
19 HBAR 39 → 51 → 50 → 46 → 41 RSI in low zones 🔼 Possible bounce
20 DOT 51 → 52 → 45 → 36 → 36 Higher RSIs show strong pressure 🔼 Growth/reversal possible
🧠 Explanation of assessment:
📉 Decline: RSI approaches overbought levels (60+) and there are signs of buyer fatigue.
🔼 Growth: RSI in lower zones (30–45) indicates accumulation or oversold conditions.
🔄 Consolidation: RSI remains within 45–55 without significant pressure.
📌 Overall market:
Most top altcoins (TON, ADA, DOT, XLM) are in a low RSI zone — a signal for a possible upward reversal.
Major coins (BTC, ETH, BNB) — in neutral zone or moderately overheated, but without clear reversal signals.
XRP, BCH, and SOL show high RSI, which may be a sign of a local pullback.
✅ Conclusion:
As of June 28, 2025, the market is in a cooling and liquidity redistribution phase. A great time to look for entry points in oversold assets, especially among:
ADA
TON
XLM
DOT
📌 Key observations:
Overbought (caution):
XRP, BCH, TRX, SOL — all in RSI zone > 60. Possible short-term pullback.
Neutral / established:
BTC, ETH, BNB, LINK, USDC, SUI — in RSI range 45–58, the market has "cooled off" but retains potential.
Oversold / preparing for growth:
ADA, XLM, TON, DOGE, DOT — all in RSI zone < 40–42. Potential for a bounce or start of an impulse.
📈 Trading insights:
For short-term trades:
Coins with RSI 60+ (#XRP , BCH, #TRX ) — pullback possible, caution advised when entering.
SUI, #dot , #TON — attractive for entry upon confirmation of a reversal signal.
For a medium-term strategy:
ADA, XLM, #DOGE — accumulation zones, interesting for DCA approach.
BTC and ETH — balanced, position accumulation possible upon confirmation of movement.
The market as a whole is in a state of consolidation, which is ideal for assessing and entering assets with RSI in the lower zone.
