🧠 I. Technical structure
📉 Global picture:
Price trades in a descending wedge — a bullish figure that historically gives breakouts up by 150–220%.
The two previous wedges worked out at 215–222% growth — high probability of a repeat pattern (behavioral inertia).
Currently — the third similar wedge, compression in the $3.80–$4.90 zone.
📊 II. Indicators and signals
✅ RSI (14, close): 47.74
Neutral zone: the price is not yet overbought but also not oversold.
RSI is accumulating hidden bullish divergence at local lows.
✅ MACD (12/26/9):
MACD line crosses upward with the signal line — bullish signal.
The histogram starts to rise — the momentum is gaining weakly.
✅ Parabolic SAR:
SAR points above the price — still a bearish trend, but close to reversal.
On a breakout of $5.10–$5.20, SAR will flip bullish.
✅ MA (7, 25, 99):
MA7 (4.63) below MA25 and MA99 — a signal that the market is not yet in a bullish phase, but early signs are forming.
MA25 (5.06) and MA99 (7.52) — the most important dynamic resistance levels.
✅ Ichimoku Cloud:
Price inside the cloud — uncertainty zone.
Tenkan-sen above Kijun-sen — early bullish signal.
The cloud ahead — expanding down → growth not yet confirmed, but a base is forming.
✅ Bollinger Bands:
Price at the lower boundary → oversold signal.
The bands are expanding → readiness to exit the range.
🧱 III. Support / resistance / volumes (Volume Profile)
🔻 Supports (buyer bases):
Level Comment
$3.47 Strongest buyer base (VPOC) and base of the previous two wedges
$4.00 Local support with volume consolidation
$4.78 Key neckline of the figure (must hold on retest)
🔺 Resistances (targets):
Level Comment
$5.20 Breakout of MA25 and the bodies of the previous candles
$6.56 Psychological target and MA99
$8.76 Post-wedge exponential expansion
$11.82 Post-dump zone of 2024
$15.02 Psychological and historical target (target 215%)
📐 IV. Trading idea: setup with DCA
🎯 Entry zone (in stages):
Level Type of entry
$4.40 Main entry (DCA)
$3.80 Position strengthening (inside the wedge)
$3.47 Last chance to buy more — VPOC base
🛑 Stop-loss:
💣 $3.35 — below the volume base and level $3.47.
Below — the figure is broken, increasing the risk of a drop to $2.80.
🎯 Targets (take-profit):
TP Price From $4.40
TP1 $5.20 +18%
TP2 $6.56 +49%
TP3 $8.76 +99%
TP4 $11.82 +168%
TP5 $15.02 +240%+
💹 Leverage:
Optimal: x3–x5
Only if it holds above $5.20 on volume can it be increased to x10
If the market is weak — no leverage or max x2
🔮 V. Probabilistic scenario
📈 Base (70%):
Consolidation $4.40–$4.90
Breakout of $5.20 → sharp rise to $6.56–$8.76
If it holds above $8.76 — growth to $11.82–$15.00
📉 Alternative (30%):
False breakout, decline to $3.80
Potential sideways movement and consolidation until July
🧾 VI. Conclusion: professional assessment
#APT is in the final phase of accumulation before a potential pump. All indicators (RSI, MACD, Bollinger, Ichimoku) are giving early signals, but not confirmation.
A breakout at $5.20 with volume will open the way to $6.56–$8.76 and above.
Opportunity for 215–240% growth with minimal risk at DCA from $4.40 and a strict stop at $3.35.
