🗓️Date– June 28, 2025
🔍 1. Key Indicators & Current Status
Price: $107,113.83 (📉 -0.14% in 24h)
Moving Averages:
🟢 EMA(7): $106,252.15 (price > EMA → short-term bullish)
🟢 EMA(25): $105,524.04 (price > EMA → mid-term bullish)
🟢 EMA(99): $100,078.69 (price > EMA → long-term bullish)
Momentum Indicators:
⚠️ RSI(6): 63.16 (neutral-bullish, nearing overbought)
🚨 Stochastic RSI: 94.68 (extremely overbought – caution)
Volume:
24h Volume: 11,796.81 BTC (~$1.26B)
Current Volume: 632.07 BTC (🔻 below MA(5): 10,958.13 BTC → momentum fading)
🛠️ Support & Resistance
🔻 Support Levels:
$106,356.76 (24h Low)
$101,037.68 (Major swing support)
🔺 Resistance Levels:
$107,735.34 (24h High)
$110,718.00 (Next major resistance)
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📈 2. Trend Overview
✅ Bullish Signs:
Price is above all major EMAs
EMA(7) > EMA(25) > EMA(99) → Strong trend alignment
⚠️ Bearish Risks:
Stochastic RSI is overbought at 94.68
Volume decline suggests weakening momentum
RSI nearing overbought zone (>70)
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📊 3. Price Forecast
📅 Short-Term (1–3 Days):
⚠️ Pullback likely to $106,000–$106,500 (EMA7 + 24h Low)
Breakdown below $106,356.76 may trigger dip to $101,000–$102,000
📅 Medium-Term (1 Week):
✅ Hold above EMA(7) keeps bullish structure alive → Target: $110,718
❌ Bearish if RSI/Stoch RSI trigger sell-off → Expect 5–7% downside
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💼 TRADE PLAN
🧠 Conservative Strategy (Wait & React)
Long Entry: Near $106,250–$106,500
🛑 Stop Loss: $105,800
🎯 Targets: $107,735 → $110,718
Short Entry (if breakdown below support):
Trigger: $106,350 on volume surge
🛑 Stop Loss: $107,800
🎯 Target: $101,037
⚡ Aggressive Strategy (Breakout Play)
Breakout Long:
Buy above $107,735.34 on strong volume
🛑 SL: $107,000
🎯 Target: $110,718
Breakdown Short:
Sell below $106,356.76
🛑 SL: $106,800
🎯 Target: $101,037
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⚠️ Important Notes
🧨 Stochastic RSI (94.68) warns of short-term correction – avoid fresh longs until it cools down
🔍 Volume must exceed MA(5) = 10,958 BTC to confirm any breakout/breakdown
🌍 Macro Factors: Watch BTC ETF flows, Fed decisions, and BTC dominance for direction
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✅ Summary
🎯 Buy Zone: $106,250–$106,500
🛑 Stop Loss: $105,800
🎯 Target: $110,718
⚠️ Break below $106,356 = bearish → Short to $101,000
Overbought signals suggest caution! Manage risk and follow the volume.
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📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always DYOR and trade responsibly.
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