๐๏ธDate โ June 28, 2025
๐ 1. Key Indicators & Current Status
Price: $2,421.16 (๐ -1.07% in 24h)
Moving Averages:
โ๏ธ EMA(7): $2,418.34 (price โ EMA7 โ neutral bias)
๐ป EMA(25): $2,466.33 (price < EMA โ bearish pressure)
๐บ EMA(99): $2,374.37 (price > EMA โ long-term bullish)
Momentum Indicators:
๐ RSI(6): 47.42 (neutral, no extreme signal)
โ ๏ธ Stochastic RSI: 75.48 (approaching overbought, watch for pullback)
Volume:
24h Volume: 327,081 ETH (~$795M)
Current Volume: 22,096 ETH (๐ป far below MA(5): 359,786 ETH โ low momentum)
๐ ๏ธ Support & Resistance
๐ป Support Levels:
$2,388.29 (24h Low)
$2,111.89 (Major support zone)
๐บ Resistance Levels:
$2,463.54 (24h High)
$2,579.96 (Next major resistance)
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๐ 2. Trend Overview
โ Bullish Signals:
Price above EMA(99) confirms long-term uptrend
EMA(7) > EMA(99) โ structure still bullish over time
โ ๏ธ Bearish Risks:
Price below EMA(25) โ short-term bearish pressure
๐ Volume collapse (94% below MA) signals weak buyer interest
Stochastic RSI near overbought โ possible downside risk
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๐ 3. Price Outlook
๐ Short-Term (1โ3 Days):
โ Break below $2,388.29 โ Target: $2,111โ$2,200
โ Bullish only if price closes above $2,466 โ Target: $2,580
๐ Medium-Term (1 Week):
Likely range-bound: $2,374โ$2,466 unless strong volume breakout
๐ Break above $2,580 could open rally to $2,750
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๐ผ TRADE PLAN
๐ง Conservative Strategy (Range Trading)
Long Setup:
Entry: $2,388โ$2,400
๐ Stop Loss: $2,370
๐ฏ Targets: $2,463 โ $2,580
Short Setup:
Entry: $2,460โ$2,466
๐ Stop Loss: $2,480
๐ฏ Targets: $2,388 โ $2,200
๐ Risk Management:
Max risk: 1% per trade
R:R = 1:2.5 (e.g., $100 risk for $250 gain)
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โก Aggressive Strategy (Breakout Focus)
Breakout Long:
Entry: Close above $2,466 with volume > 300K ETH
๐ SL: $2,430
๐ฏ Target: $2,580โ$2,750
Breakdown Short:
Entry: Close below $2,388
๐ SL: $2,410
๐ฏ Target: $2,111โ$2,200
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โ ๏ธ Critical Notes
๐ Volume is Key: Breakout must be backed by volume > MA(5) = 359K ETH
โ ๏ธ Stochastic RSI Warning: Near overbought (75.48) โ possible pullback
๐ Catalysts: Watch for Ethereum ETF headlines, BTC dominance, L2 project news
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โ Summary
๐ฏ Range Play:
Buy dips to $2,388โ$2,400 (SL: $2,370), Target: $2,580
Sell rallies to $2,460โ$2,466 (SL: $2,480), Target: $2,388 โ $2,200
๐จ Breakout Trade:
Break above $2,466 โ Rally to $2,750
Break below $2,388 โ Drop to $2,111
Volume confirmation is essential! Trade with caution and discipline.
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๐ Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidlyโalways do your own research.
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Trade from here ๐ $ETH
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