Stellar price ($XLM ) showed signs of stabilization after the declining month of June, as prices attempt to regain key support levels. As of June 26, 2025, the price is trading at $XLM
Around $0.242, approaching a resistance level amid a low Relative Strength Index (RSI) environment. Is a bullish reversal expected? Let’s analyze the chart and predict what awaits us.
Price forecast for $XLM : Why is Stellar's price struggling below $0.25?
XLM/USD Daily Chart
The current Heikin Ashi candle pattern reflects stability near the $0.24 level, below the pivot point 1 resistance level ($0.243-$0.247). This area forms a tight cap on Stellar's upward price momentum. Despite repeated tests, bulls failed to surpass this ceiling, indicating hesitation likely driven by broader market caution.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (14) stands at 38.40, well below the neutral 50 line, indicating a prevailing downtrend. The RSI recently bounced from the oversold area (near 30), but in the absence of strong trading volume or price action follow-through, this movement appears corrective rather than impulsive.
Can the price #XLM bounce from here or will it drop to $0.20?
Fibonacci levels drawn from the recent high ($0.29) to the swing low ($0.20) indicate a 23.6% retracement area around $0.243, which is exactly where the price of XLM is currently hovering. This overlap between technical resistance and pivot points suggests a difficult breakout.
If the price #Stellar fails to close above $0.247 with strong bullish candles, there is a real risk of slipping back towards the S2 area at $0.215 and even re-testing the June lows near $0.20, especially if #Bitcoin shows weakness.
What does the divergence between the price of the Relative Strength Index and XLM indicate?
Interestingly, although the price of XLM recently hit lows, the Relative Strength Index showed a slightly higher low, resulting in a slight bullish divergence. This often indicates weakening downward momentum and may hint at a short-term upward move - provided buyers step in soon.
Confirming a bullish trend requires a decisive daily close above $0.247, followed by a move towards the next resistance cluster at $0.265, which is a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
XLM Price Forecast: What is the bullish scenario for July 2025?
If the price of XLM can surpass the current $0.247 barrier with strong trading volume, the next bullish targets will be:
$0.265 - 38.2% Fibonacci level
$0.284 - 61.8% Fibonacci level, strong historical resistance
$0.30 - Psychological resistance and May consolidation area
Using a basic Fibonacci retracement model:
If $0.20 is the swing low and $0.29 is the last major high, a 61.8% recovery from the low would suggest:
Target = $0.20 + 0.618 × ($0.29 - $0.20) = $0.20 + $0.0556 ≈ $0.2556
This expectation closely aligns with the resistance area at $0.26, making it a realistic bullish target for July.
What’s next for the price #ستيلر ?
Stellar's price is at a crossroads. The Relative Strength Index and price structure indicate a potential short-term bounce, but a key resistance level between $0.243 and $0.247 must be breached to confirm the bullish trend. Should that fail, it is likely to drop to $0.215 or even $0.20. However, if the price of XLM can break through the resistance level, we may see trading between $0.26 and $0.30 in July 2025.
Traders should monitor the following:
Daily close above $0.247 = bullish trend
Decline below $0.215 = continued downtrend
Risks remain, as do opportunities. A few critical days await Stellar.