Fundamental analysis:
Peace dawn: After a tense standoff, Trump announced a '24-hour phased ceasefire agreement.' Iran will cease attacks first, followed by Israel pausing military actions. The transitional period for the ceasefire agreement is 24 hours, but the implementation still needs to be observed.
Iran's position: Despite the ceasefire agreement, Iran has stated that it does not fully trust the actions of the other side and remains vigilant.
Tensions escalate again: After Iran's missile attack on Qatar's Al Udeid Air Base, Israel suspended airstrikes in the early hours but remains on high alert.
Global market recovery: The US dollar index has fallen, and global asset markets are beginning to rise. Oil prices have significantly retreated, and stock index futures have rebounded simultaneously, alleviating investor sentiment.
Technical analysis:
BTC (Bitcoin):
ETH (Ethereum):
Altcoin operational thinking:
Market recovery and capital inflow: Recently, there has been significant capital inflow into crypto ETFs, and on-chain funds have also started to warm up, leading to a general rebound in altcoins. However, due to the current sensitivity of the market, especially the instability of geopolitical and macro policies, the upward trend of altcoins is very fragile.
Operational thinking: The current market rebound is weak, akin to the story of 'The Wolf is Coming.' Investors need to be very cautious and avoid blindly chasing prices. The strong-performing public chain token S will be listed on Coinbase at 9 AM Pacific Time, worth watching, but vigilance is still necessary, and position control should be maintained.
Summary:
Market environment: The dual benefits of peace dawn and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve bring rebound opportunities to the crypto market. Especially for BTC and ETH, if they break through key resistance levels, they are expected to continue rising in the short term.
Operational strategy: Both Bitcoin and Ethereum face critical technical resistance levels; short-term entry is appropriate, utilizing the fluctuation range for short-term operations. For altcoins, it is advisable to remain cautiously observant to avoid unnecessary losses from excessive market sentiment fluctuations.
Pay attention to risks, control positions, and seize opportunities in a timely manner; these are the most important operational principles in the current market.
