⚠️ The dollar is rising: markets await Iran's response
After the US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, investors have switched to "safe haven" mode — the dollar is strengthening, gold and oil are moving up. What’s next?
🔮 Scenarios for development:
1️⃣ Moderate response — strikes on military targets without escalation.
🟢 Markets quickly recover, the dollar remains strong.
2️⃣ Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
🔥 Oil could soar to $130+, the dollar — up, stocks — down.
3️⃣ Escalation of the conflict
🔴 Attacks on US allies, sharp increase in volatility, rise in demand for gold and the dollar.
4️⃣ Diplomatic lull
🕊 Threat reduced, oil stabilizes, USD — moderately declines.
📊 What should traders do?
Monitor oil: it is the main indicator of geopolitics
Watch the dollar index (DXY) and gold
Prioritize holding defensive assets