🚨 Bitcoin falls below $102,000: technical correction or the start of something bigger?
📉 On the 3-day chart, BTCUSDT shows a decline of -1.73%, trading at $102,019, after moving between $103,830 and $100,789. The Bollinger Bands have tightened as the MACD remains in a bearish zone and the RSI collapses to ~38, signaling intensifying selling pressure.
🌍 Current context: macro and geopolitics at play
The conflict in the Middle East and the recent 'hawkish' pause from the Fed keep markets on standby. Bitcoin has lost nearly 3% from $103,970, touching $101,000 before rebounding above $102,800 due to buying opportunities.
Bitfinex analysts warn that $102,000–$103,000 is the vital threshold; if it holds, the upward trend may persist, but if it breaks, we could feel pressure towards $100,000–$97,000.
🔍 Two paths: rebound or correction
Scenario 1: Technical rebound
If BTC manages to stay above $102,000 and buying volume returns, we could see a recovery towards $105,000–$106,000, driven by institutional flows and positive macro strength.
Scenario 2: Deep correction
If it convincingly breaks the key support, we could fall to $100,000–$97,000, triggering a mass sell-off due to stop-loss and increasing macro risk.
🧠 Smart strategy for this moment
1. Define your entry zone and stop-loss between $102,000 and $103,000.
2. Monitor the volume and macro context; a rise in purchases suggests a rebound, while an increase in sales indicates a correction.
3. Keep small positions and adjust according to whether it breaks or rebounds.
4. Use technical analysis alongside macro context – Fed, Middle East, ETF flows – for informed decisions.
📈 Key summary: Bitcoin is at a vital crossroads. The level of $102,000 will determine whether the upward trend continues or a correction begins. In such moments, the disciplined and focused trader has the advantage.
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