Trump pressures the Federal Reserve to cut rates, as the crypto market faces a critical turning point.
Trump is calling for interest rates to be cut to 1%-2%, while also sending signals that "he may not fire Powell." The market is holding its breath for a response from the Federal Reserve.
The real motivation behind interest rate cuts.
Behind Trump's call for interest rate cuts lies a triple pressure:
National fiscal crisis: $9 trillion in national debt faces refinancing, and high interest rates will increase fiscal costs by $1 trillion.
Personal debt pressure: Trump urgently needs low-cost refinancing for loans due in six months.
Commercial real estate crisis: Over $500 billion in loans are due by 2025, with the delinquency rate rising to 1.57%.
Direct impact on the cryptocurrency market.
Short-term volatility intensifies:
Bitcoin at $103,000 and Ethereum at $2,480 are key defense lines; breaching them could trigger programmatic sell-offs.
The market is highly sensitive to expectations of interest rate cuts; Powell's previous hawkish statements led to a 5% drop in BTC in one day.
Medium to long-term liquidity opportunities:
Interest rate cuts will weaken the dollar, benefiting alternative assets like Bitcoin.
The U.S. (GENIUS Act) may bring trillions in compliant funds into the crypto market through stablecoins.
The balance of Bitcoin on exchanges continues to decline, and the supply gap keeps widening.
Trump's crypto strategy shift.
Publicly supporting Bitcoin mining: "Hope all remaining Bitcoins are manufactured in the U.S."
Campaign team accepts cryptocurrency donations, plans to launch official stablecoin USD1.
Cryptocurrency policy has become a new battleground in the U.S. elections.
Investor response strategies.
Short-term vigilance:
Focus on BTC $103,000 / ETH $2,480 technical levels.
Avoid highly volatile altcoins to guard against the risks of abrupt macro policy changes.
Long-term layout:
Focusing on Bitcoin spot ETF institutional channels.
Betting on the incremental funding opportunities brought by stablecoin legislation.
The cryptocurrency market is at a historical turning point: the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions will become the final key to unlocking trillions in institutional funds. Regardless of Powell's response, decisions in Washington are being translated in real time into buy and sell orders on exchanges, reconstructing the valuation logic of digital assets.
Attention to Big D! First-hand information + in-depth market analysis, keep up with the rhythm and let assets soar!
#特朗普施压鲍威尔
