Does Trump want to attack Iran? Hold on, let's see if BTC has already hit a new high!
Every time Trump wants to do something, the market feels like it's been paralyzed, unable to move or remain still.
Now he has made a strong statement: "We have the right to retaliate against Iranian provocations!" - as soon as the news breaks, the cryptocurrency circle immediately reacts, with many influencers even setting up long BTC orders in advance, anticipating war profits.
But is this really reliable?
Let’s review a few instances of "international crises": from the Ukraine war to the Israel-Hamas conflict, initial risk-averse sentiment did indeed push BTC to strengthen in the short term, but then due to tight funding and a backlash against market risk aversion, the gains quickly reversed.
This time the situation is even more surreal.
Trump's remarks are highly uncertain; they could be strategic deterrence or a performance to shift domestic focus.
Market speculation is easy, but sustainability is weak. BTC might experience a "three consecutive bullish candles of war" in the short term, but without real capital entering, caution is still needed for the medium to long term.
It’s worth noting that some cryptocurrencies might "escape the flames of war" - such as $ETH , which could become a tool for "capital evasion from monitoring," while USDT might see a "premium market."
If there are further explosions in stablecoins within the DeFi sector, it will further intensify market sentiment fluctuations.
Trump speaks, the cryptocurrency circle gets excited; don’t think war means a bull market; remember: war is just an "excuse for capital relocation," not the foundation for long-term growth. $BTC
