Trump is going to stir up trouble, and the crypto market is like being hit by a needle. It is not right to move or not to move. Now he has made a harsh statement: "We have the right to fight back against Iran's provocation!" As soon as the news came out, the cryptocurrency circle was immediately moved. Obviously, some big Vs even placed BTC long orders in advance, expecting the dividends of the war.
But is this really reliable? Let's review several "international crises": from the Ukrainian war to the Kazakh conflict, the risk aversion of young people did push BTC to strengthen in the short term, but then it quickly gave up due to the tight capital chain and the rebound of market risk fear. This situation is even more magical. Trump's sudden strangulation may be a strategic deterrent or a performance to divert domestic focus. Market speculation is easy, but the sustainability is weak. BTC may go out of the "three consecutive positives of war" in the short term, but if there is no real money entering the market, it still needs milk in the medium and long term. What is implied is that some currencies may "exit the capital circle due to war" - such as XMR, ZEC and other privacy coins may become a tool for "capital to avoid monitoring", and USDT may have a "premium market". DeFi sectors such as stablecoins have exploded again, further exacerbating market sentiment fluctuations. Trump said that the currency circle will be happy first; don't think that war is a bull market, remember: it is just an "excuse for moving", not the cornerstone of long-term growth.
