The early morning meeting was relatively neutral, with Lao Bao reiterating that interest rate cuts depend on data. The dot plot still shows expectations for two rate cuts in 2025, which is better than some pessimistic market expectations, driving up the probability of a rate cut in September.
Bitcoin's turnover rate has slightly increased, mainly due to short-term investors responding to geopolitical risks. The chips continue to accumulate at the upper level of 105k, and the anticipated sharp rise and fall have not occurred, showing a lack of enthusiasm for a breakout.
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