1. Weak Foundations, Earthquakes Will Shake (2-4 Weeks)
Don't just look at K-lines like a fortune teller, you need to understand whether 'head and shoulders' is a real rebound or a 'double top' that requires you to run. BTC is currently swaying at $110,000, focus on the daily chart, and trading volume doesn't lie.
Bollinger Bands Converging? A change might be coming; MACD Golden Cross? Don't rush to All in, first check if there are movements in the large holdings addresses (Glassnode checks big holders). Record a few predictions, the market will teach you how to do it.

2. Making Money is Not Based on Belief (1-2 Months)

Swing Trading: ETH from 2400 to 2700, make a profit of $300 and run, don't wait for the 'doubling myth', set stop-loss and take-profit properly, the market specializes in treating greedy ghosts.

Dollar-Cost Averaging: Buy BTC at a fixed point every month, increase your position if it drops by 5%-10%, anything below 108,000 is a gift. In the 2025 bull market, holding is winning.

Primary Market: Binance New Coins (like Resolv), throw a few hundred HKD as tuition, making money means young models in the club, losing won't hurt.

3. Staying Alive is More Important than Making Money (Long-term Habit)

Position: Use 10% of total funds for short-term trading, don’t exceed 5% per trade. In 2022, I went all-in and lost 80%, now I've learned my lesson.

Safety: Store half of your assets in a cold wallet, don’t put private keys in phone memos unless you want to experience 'zero overnight'.

Stop-Loss: Automatically cut losses at 10% drop, don’t fantasize about 'whales washing the plate', most people die at the foot of the mountain.

4. Information Warfare and Mentality (Long-term Battle)

News: Follow @Binance official on Twitter, avoid reading 'tenfold magic coins' essays. After the US stock market closes tonight, BTC may go wild, don’t stay up late watching the market.

Mindset: FOMO in a bull market (fear of missing out) leads to quick death, panic selling in a bear market leads to worse outcomes. A 30% pullback is normal, hold onto good assets; time will bring you justice.

5. Current Opportunities (Keep an Eye on These)

AI + Blockchain: Projects like Resolv, small investments to follow the trend, losing is research, winning is a surprise.

Time Window: Tonight until tomorrow, ETH and SOL may have movements, there might be news on Wednesday, set orders in advance.

Tools: Use CoinGecko to check popularity, DAppRadar to dig for DeFi opportunities, information asymmetry is profit.

6. Advanced Milestones

1 Month: Able to understand K-lines + indicators, practice 5 times, recognize both losses and gains.

3 Months: A few hundred HKD extra in the account, played two rounds in the primary market.

6 Months: Strategy Stabilized, earning 20% annualized is considered a win, don’t compare with get-rich-quick legends.

Final Note: The 2025 Bull Market is a Touchstone, but most people overestimate one-year returns and underestimate three-year growth. Steady and steady, you will come back to thank me in half a year.

Stay Close to Yuanbao@趋势狂人元寶 , Precision Strike

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