๐๏ธ Date-June 19,2025
๐ Key Indicators & Data
๐ฐ Price: $104,889.25 (-0.11%) โ trading below EMA(7) & EMA(25)
๐ EMAs:
EMA(7): $105,482.79
EMA(25): $105,545.33
EMA(99): $99,054.70
๐ฅ Short-term: Bearish
๐ฉ Long-term: Still in uptrend (Price > EMA99)
๐งพ MACD:
DIF: 285.22
DEA: 719.01
๐ MACD: -433.80 = Bearish momentum increasing
๐ป DIF < DEA โ Downtrend acceleration
๐ RSI(6): 41.59 โ Neutral but nearing oversold
๐ Volume:
Current: 1,316.73 BTC
MA(5): 11,047.71
MA(10): 13,818.47
๐ค Volume < MAs โ Weak participation = indecision
๐ Support / Resistance:
Support: $100,372 โ $99,991 โ $99,054 (EMA99)
Resistance: $105,500 (EMA cluster) โ $111,980
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๐ฎ Price Prediction
๐ Short-Term (1โ3 Days)
๐ Bias: Bearish โ likely tests $100,372 โ $99,054
๐ซ Upside resistance near $105,500
๐๏ธ Medium-Term (1 Week)
โ If $99,054 holds โ rebound to $107,000โ$111,980
โ If breakdown below $99,054 โ fall toward $96,000โ$94,000
๐ Catalysts:
MACD bearish crossover, RSI near oversold = Potential bounce zone
Low volume โ Possible sideways chop before breakout
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๐ฏ Trade Plan
๐ Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (60% Probability)
Entry: Short @ $104,800โ$105,000
Targets:
TP1: $100,372
TP2: $99,054
Stop Loss: $105,600
R:R: ~1:3.5+
๐ Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal at EMA(99) (40% Probability)
Entry: Long @ $99,100โ$99,300
Targets:
TP1: $102,000
TP2: $105,500
Stop Loss: $98,800
Confirmation: Volume spike + RSI >50
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โ๏ธ Risk Management
๐ผ Max Risk: 1โ2% per trade
๐งฎ Leverage: Max 5x (high volatility)
๐ Adjustments:
โ Break below $98,800 โ cancel longs, target $96K
โ Break above $105,600 โ cancel shorts, target $107K+
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๐ Summary
Trend Bias: โ ๏ธ Bearish (price below EMAs, MACD negative)
Key Zone: $99,054 (EMA99) โ trend decision level
Top Strategies:
1. Short bounce to $105K (tight SL)
2. Long bounce at $99,100 (only if confirmed by volume/RSI)
๐ง Watch MACD crossover & volume breakout to confirm trend change.
Take Trade From here ๐ $BTC
๐ Follow for real-time BTC updates