Graph Structure + Indicator Resonance Analysis
4-Hour Cycle:
The current price is running between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, with a slight expansion of the opening, indicating bearishness.
The EMA moving average group has not yet completed an effective turn, with the 10EMA and 20EMA forming a death cross structure, exerting pressure from above.
The SAR indicator is still above the candlestick, indicating that the bearish dominance has not ended.
1-Hour Cycle:
There has been a local oversold rebound, with short-term stabilization signs, but the trading volume is weak, and the rebound may be limited.
KDJ is in a low position with a slight golden cross intention, MACD is still below the zero axis, but the histogram is shortening, indicating possible recovery.
Daily Structure:
The overall structure is still in a downward channel, and yesterday's rebound did not break the previous high, indicating weak recovery.
The daily Bollinger Bands continue to decline, and the short-term trend has not reversed.
My Predicted Direction
Today's Direction I Prefer: Weak Consolidation → Rebound Under Pressure → Re-test Bottom
The reasons are as follows:
The overall multi-cycle bearish arrangement remains unchanged.
The main force of this round of decline has not completed an effective stop-loss exchange.
The volume has not cooperated, and a rebound without volume is unlikely to last.
Operational Suggestions
Current Price: 146
First Resistance Level: 147.8 USDT
Second Resistance Level: 149.5 USDT
First Support Level: 143.3 USDT
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