#FOMCMeeting
FOMC meeting today? POWELL WILL EXPLODE THE MARKET?
Yes – the FOMC meeting is in progress today (June 18, 2025). The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady at its current 4.25–4.50% range, with a formal announcement at 2 p.m. Eastern Time (6:00 PM UTC), followed by Powell’s press conference at ~2:30 p.m. ET .
Most analysts (e.g. CME FedWatch) show nearly 100% odds of no rate change . The question you’re asking—“Powell will explode the market?”—hinges not on the rate but on his tone, the dot plot updates, and forward guidance.
🚀 What could move markets today?
1. Dot‑Plot signals: If Fed members reduce expected rate cuts for 2025, that count as hawkish and likely strengthens the dollar, rattles equities .
2. Powell’s tone: Emphasis on inflation risks (e.g. tariffs, oil volatility) could sound hawkish—even with no rate change—triggering market dips .
3. Less dovish than expected: If market expected one more cut and dot‑plot signals fewer, stocks and crypto could pull back .
🔍 So: Will Powell “explode” the market?
• Probably not a huge explosion, but investors are on edge: markets are jittery due to geopolitical issues (e.g., Israel–Iran tensions), so any perceived hawkishness could lead to volatility .
• If Powell firmly sticks to a “wait and see” approach, markets may see mild relief, but strong bullish sentiment seems unlikely today.
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📋 Key takeaways
Event Time (ET) Market Impact
Rate Decision 2:00 p.m. ET Expected hold at 4.25–4.50%
Powell Press Conference 2:30 p.m. ET Tone and dot‑plot crucial
Market Sensitivity ~Today High due to geopolitical & inflation concerns
• Upside scenario: A clear signal that cuts are coming (e.g., 2 cuts for 2025) could uplift stocks and crypto.
• Downside scenario: Hawkish tone or fewer rate cuts expected -> potential market pullback.
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⏰ Stay tuned around 2:30 p.m. ET for Powell’s remarks. That’s when the markets really “explode” or not.