🎯 DOES THE FED HAVE A “SOFT LANDING”? INTEREST RATE CUTS ARE CLOSER THAN EVER!

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According to CME “Fed Watch”, the market is sensing a “pivot” from the FED as the probability of interest rate cuts in 2024 is gradually increasing each quarter:

🔹 July:

• Probability of keeping interest rates unchanged: 85.5%

• Probability of a 25 basis point cut: 14.5%

🔹 September:

• 58.2% chance the FED will start cutting interest rates

• 32.8% keeping unchanged

• 8.9% for a scenario of a strong cut of 50 basis points

🔹 December:

• Almost certain the FED will cut interest rates, with a total probability of up to 94.5%

• In which:

  ▫️ 26.0% – cut by 25 basis points

  ▫️ 41.3% – cut by 50 basis points

  ▫️ 24.1% – cut by 75 basis points

  ▫️ 3.0% – cut by up to 100 basis points

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💬 Comment #BTC

🔍 If the FED cuts rates from September or earlier:

→ Large capital may return to the crypto market. BTC, ETH, and leading altcoins will be the preferred choice as lower interest rates make high-risk assets more attractive.

🔍 If the FED keeps rates unchanged until the end of the year:

→ The market will continue to “weaken”, crypto may sideway, or even face pressure if economic data worsens.

🧠 But no matter what, the likelihood of the FED changing course is growing over time, and 2024 will almost certainly see at least one rate cut. This will be an opportunity to prepare long-term positions starting now.