#FOMCMeeting

The market held its breath — what did the Fed decide?

🔔 The U.S. Federal Reserve kept the rate unchanged — at 5.25% – 5.50%, for the seventh consecutive month.

🗣 Key messages from the June meeting:

📌 A pause, but not the end of the cycle

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that "inflation is not sufficiently reduced yet," meaning that 1–2 rate cuts are possible only in the second half of 2025.

📌 Inflation is stubbornly sticky

CPI remains above the target 2% — at around ~2.8%, while PCE core is even creeping up to 3.1%.

📌 The labor market is strong

Unemployment is at 4.0%, wage growth is at 3.9%. This provides grounds not to rush with easing policy.

📈 Market reaction:

💵 S&P 500 – slight decline

💰 $BTC – holding levels around ~$107K (hedge effect)

🏦 10-year bond yield – rose to ~4.3%

📉 Gold – slight decline

🔍 What’s next?

– The market expects the first cut in September or December

– FedWatch traders give a ~42% probability of a cut in September

– Strategies: Buy the dip for risk assets, long USD in the short term

🧠 "Patience is also a tool of monetary policy." — analysts comment.

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