Bitcoin’s recent climb above $107K has excited the market, but a closer technical analysis using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) raises serious concerns. The 15-minute chart is signaling what may be a classic bull trap, suggesting that Bitcoin’s momentum could be misleading.
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📈 Bitcoin at a Glance
Price: $107,408.99
24h Change: +1.58%
At face value, the numbers look strong. But price action combined with volume behavior tells a more complex story.
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🔍 Volume Spread Analysis: What’s the Signal?
The current upward move into the $108K range is accompanied by heavy volume and a weak closing candle. According to VSA principles, this pattern indicates that large players (smart money) may be distributing assets, rather than supporting a genuine bullish continuation.
This pattern has historically appeared ahead of corrections, notably in:
April 2024
August 2023
Now, in mid-2025, the same signal is reemerging.
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⚠️ $107.5K Support Becomes Resistance
Price recently surged into a known liquidity zone around $108K, where whales typically exit their positions. What’s concerning is that the support level at $107.5K has flipped to resistance, with selling pressure increasing.
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🎯 Next Target Zone: $105K–$102K
If the pattern plays out as expected, BTC could retreat toward:
$105K, aligning with ascending trendline support
$104K–$102K, a zone of historical buying interest and liquidity demand
This zone may act as a "magnet" for price in the short term.
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🧠 Key Takeaways for Traders
This is not a signal to panic, but rather to exercise caution:
🔒 Use tight stop-losses
🧭 Avoid entering new long positions blindly
🔁 Wait for a confirmed break and hold above $108K before resuming bullish bias
🧠 Focus on volume behavior, not just price levels
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✅ Summary
While Bitcoin’s recent rise looks promising on the surface, the underlying VSA dynamics suggest distribution by smart money. For now, bullish sentiment may be premature unless BTC reclaims key resistance levels convincingly.
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In trading, the difference between reacting and anticipating often comes down to reading between the candles.
What’s your take? Are you still bullish—or watching for confirmation like the pros?
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