Today, the Binance Whale Inflow (30D Sum) metric triggered a major alert. The total Bitcoin sent by whales to Binance has nearly doubled, signaling a significant shift in institutional positioning.
At the same time, Retail Inflow (30D Sum) has been steadily declining. This suggests that retail investors are holding onto their BTC, not moving it to exchanges — a sign of confidence or passivity in a range-bound market.
📊 BTC has remained in a tight range for over a month, indicating ongoing position rotation rather than trend confirmation.
Historically, a spike in whale inflow often precedes a sharp BTC rally, which then allows these inflows to be sold into strength. If whale inflow keeps rising but price doesn’t drop, it implies that institutions may be preparing for one last push up before selling.
However, there's a key risk:
When whale inflows and BTC price both increase simultaneously, the move is often unsustainable. Once buying power dries up, pullbacks tend to be violent.
In short:
📈 Retail is holding → No major panic or exit.
🐋 Whale inflow doubled → Possible hedge or pre-sale positioning.
💡 Watch closely: A short-term rally may emerge, but be cautious — this could be the final liquidity trap before a reversal.
Written by BorisVest