• Dogecoin’s MACD crossovers in 2024 and 2025 highlight strong volatility cycles with potential for another explosive upside move.

  • Historical Doge Seasons reveal that every multi-year consolidation has triggered massive rallies, with 2025 aligning for another breakout.

  • DOGE’s recent price drop below $0.040 and MACD downturn signals a key moment, but cyclical trends hint at a bullish shift ahead.

Trader Tardigrade’s tweet highlights Dogecoin’s critical MACD crossover, signaling a possible breakout toward $1. According to the trader, DOGE’s price behavior since early 2024 reflects a series of bullish and bearish MACD signals. Initially, DOGE rallied from $0.080 to $0.220 after a bullish crossover in March. This strong surge marked the coin’s first rally phase in 2024. However, the price later corrected, falling back to $0.060 during the summer. Despite the dip, another MACD crossover surfaced during consolidation, hinting at renewed bullish strength.

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Source: Trader Tardigrade

DOGE then staged a dramatic comeback. During late 2024, the meme coin skyrocketed from $0.060 to highs near $0.480. This 700% rally was DOGE’s most aggressive move in recent history. Besides, the MACD histogram printed its highest bullish levels within the period. Both MACD lines widened, further confirming the intense upward momentum. However, this rally phase was short-lived. In early 2025, DOGE plunged below $0.040, triggering a bearish MACD crossover. The histogram turned red, with both MACD lines crossing under the zero line. This shift suggested a strong bearish trend now dominates DOGE’s outlook.

Historical Cycles Support DOGE’s Repeating Pattern

Trader Tardigrade’s follow-up tweet draws attention to DOGE’s long-term cycle. Historically, every consolidation phase has led to massive rallies. The first Doge Season occurred in 2017, with prices soaring nearly 9,000%. The second season exploded in 2021, driving DOGE to its all-time high of $0.740. After that, DOGE entered a lengthy sideways range between $0.050 and $0.350 for almost three years.

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Source: Trader Tardigrade

The third Doge Season began in late 2024, with DOGE rallying from $0.060 to $0.480. These parabolic moves follow clear patterns. Each rally comes after multi-year accumulation periods. Green curved trendlines connect the consolidation bottoms, forming reliable support zones across multiple timeframes. Moreover, volume spikes during each rally confirm stronger investor participation.

DOGE Tests Key Support Levels

Currently, DOGE trades at $0.040 after breaking below a crucial trendline. Hence, the next support rests near $0.030. However, another MACD crossover to the upside could reignite a rally phase. Consequently, many traders are now closely watching for bullish signals. Additionally, cyclical patterns suggest that the next Doge Season could unfold anytime in 2025.



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