There are 4 days left before the Fed’s interest rate decision, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in June is 0.4%
On June 15, according to CME’s “Fed Watch” data, there are 4 days left before the next FOMC meeting (the interest rate decision will be announced at 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, June 19), and the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in June is 0.4%, and the probability of maintaining the same is 99.6%.
The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points by July is 0.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 23%, and the probability of maintaining the same is 76.9%.