Breaking Point!: Middle Eastern Nuclear-Level Black Swan Attack, BTC Spike Market Warning!
"Air Force Nuclear Bomb Crashes the Market, Blood Flowing in the Streets?"
Israel's lightning strike on Iran's nuclear facilities (codename 'Lion's Strength') caused BTC to spike to 83,000 USDT in an instant, with over 1.5 billion dollars in liquidations across the network within an hour. Gold and crude oil surged violently (Gold +1.6%, WTI +14%), extracting funds from the crypto space, while Tether's market cap shrank by 800 million USDT in a single day, and whales accumulated 12,000 BTC within an hour.
Data Breakdown: Leverage Liquidation and Liquidity Trap
High Leverage Death Spiral
In the week before the crash, the number of open BTC contracts surged by 18%, with derivatives leverage exceeding 25 times, creating a crowded long risk. Binance perpetual contract data shows that long positions with 20x leverage accumulated in the 105K-110K range accounted for 75%, triggering 20 billion USDT in forced liquidations.
On-chain Warning and Institutional Double Kill
Whales transferred 120,000 BTC to exchanges 72 hours before the crash, causing Coinbase's premium index to plummet to -1.5%, indicating institutional sell-offs. Meanwhile, the open interest for 87K put options on Deribit surged by 400%, as major players harvested the spot price spread and option premiums.
Market Truth: Your Stop-Loss Order is the Dealer's Withdrawal Code
Emotional Manipulation and Time Difference Harvesting
The Fear and Greed Index fell from 75 to 35, with retail contract long positions accounting for 31% (the lowest since January 2025). Institutions positioned short in advance through CME futures, then sold spot to trigger follow-on selling, forming a closed loop of 'spike - liquidation - accumulation'.
The Script of Policy Black Swan
In March 2025, expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts lifted the price to 112K, but in May, the narrative shifted to 'maintaining high interest rates' alongside the SEC investigation into Coinbase, completing the cycle of favorable selling - unfavorable crashing.
Counterattack: Three Strategies to Deal with Extreme Market Conditions
Ultimate Simulation: Can BTC Recover to 100K Before July?
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