๐๏ธ Date: June 13, 2025
๐ฐ Current Price: $2,498.55 (-9.58%)
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๐ Key Changes vs Previous
๐ Dropped over $260 from $2,761
โ Broke below EMA(7) & EMA(25)
๐ Volume weak: 560K ETH < avg 763K ETH
โ ๏ธ RSI at 38.42 โ near oversold
๐งจ MACD histogram at -13.38 โ strong bearish momentum
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๐ Technical Breakdown
๐ป Bearish Signals
Cracked under $2,547 (EMA 25) and $2,743 resistance
EMA(7) < EMA(25) = death cross confirmed
MACD momentum rising in bearish direction
Low volume = weak hands exiting or temporary panic
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๐งฑ Support & Resistance Zones
Support Levels
$2,498.54 (24h low)
$2,349.86 (EMA 99)
$2,000 (psychological)
Resistance Levels
$2,547.30 (EMA 25)
$2,617.49 (EMA 7)
$2,693.54 (major resistance)
๐ฏ Breakdown Target: $1,787.01
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๐ฎ Price Prediction
โณ Next 12โ24 Hours
๐ฅ Base Case (70%): Breakdown to $2,450 โ $2,400
๐ฉ Bounce Case (30%): RSI bounce โ $2,547 โ $2,570
๐๏ธ 3-Day Outlook
โ Daily close <$2,450 = bearish continuation
โ Break above $2,570 = potential relief rally
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๐ง Trade Plan
โก Immediate Trades (Next 4h)
1. Aggressive Long (Bounce Setup)
Entry: $2,500โ$2,505
Target: $2,540 โ $2,550
Stop: $2,490
Trigger: RSI >40 + bullish 1h candle
2. Short Scalp (Failed Bounce)
Entry: $2,530
Target: $2,505 โ $2,498
Stop: $2,545
Confirm: 15m close < $2,520
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๐ Swing Trades
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $2,495
Target: $2,450 โ $2,400
Stop: $2,505
Confirm: 4h candle close < $2,495
2. Relief Rally Short
Entry: $2,550
Target: $2,500 โ $2,480
Stop: $2,570
Trigger: RSI <40 at resistance
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๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Position Size: โค2% capital
Take Profit:
Long: 100% at $2,540
Short: 50% at $2,500, 50% at $2,480
Stop Loss: Max 0.8% of capital per trade
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โ๏ธ Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! 4h close < $2,498
! RSI stays <35
! Volume >700K ETH on breakdown
! EMA(7) stays below EMA(25)
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! RSI >45 + divergence
! 4h close > $2,550
! MACD histogram > -10
! Strong volume >650K ETH
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โ Summary
ETH/USDT in capitulation phase but oversold bounce possible:
๐ Key Resistance: $2,547 (must break for reversal)
โ ๏ธ Key Support: $2,498 (break = $2,450 zone next)
๐ง Top Trade Ideas:
1. Aggressive long near $2,500 (stop $2,490)
2. Breakdown short under $2,495 (stop $2,505)
3. Short rallies n
ear $2,550 (stop $2,570)
๐ซ Avoid heavy longs until RSI >40 and MACD eases
๐ฏ Exit all longs at $2,540 if trade hits target
๐Follow for more updates
Take Trade From here ๐ $ETH
