📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/06/13)

Bitcoin saw a sharp pullback today, dipping into key support before a potential rebound. Below is a structured, multi-timeframe strategy:

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【Daily】

Trend: Retraced from the 111.9K high down to ~103.7K, breaking below the 10-day and 20-day MAs and testing the 50-day MA (~102.8K) and lower Bollinger Band. MACD stays below zero but its histogram is contracting; RSI ~46 (not oversold); DMI shows −DI slightly above +DI with ADX ~27, indicating a mild downtrend losing steam. Holding above the 50-day MA could set up a run back to the 20-day MA and descending trendline.

🔹 Longs:

🛑 Stop-loss: 100,372 (break triggers short)

🟢 Add-on:

- Best: 104,252 ✅

- Secondary: 103,348 ✅

- Final: 102,546

🚀 Breakout Entry: 110,531 (above 10-day MA/trendline)

🎯 Targets: 116,807 → 126,965 → 137,123

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【4H】

Trend: The sharp drop has reached the 100- and 200-period MAs (~100K–103K). RSI <30 signals oversold, price at the lower Bollinger Band with a long lower wick, MACD histogram narrowing, and DMI still favoring −DI but momentum waning—suggesting a near-term bounce.

🔹 Longs:

🛑 Trailing Stop: 100,272 (break cuts longs)

🟢 Add-on Zone: 103,200–103,800 (currently triggered) ✅

🚀 Breakout Entry: 105,000 (clear above the 20/50-period MAs)

🎯 Targets: 104,500 → 105,500 → 106,800

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【1H】

Trend: On the 1-hour chart, price plunged below the lower Bollinger Band and formed a long lower wick, RSI deeply oversold, MACD heavily negative—indicating a probable technical bounce but capped by higher-timeframe resistance.

🔻 Shorts:

🛑 Stop-loss: 105,000 (above flips long)

🟢 Add-on: 104,500–105,000 zone

🚨 Breakdown Entry: 103,200

🎯 Targets: 103,500 → 102,500 → 101,000

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【Strategy Summary】

⚠️ Recommendations:

1. Short-term: scale into longs at 103.2–103.8K with a stop at 100.3K;

2. If price rallies to 104.5–105K, consider taking profit or switching to short;