📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/06/13)
Today, the BTC price experienced significant fluctuations, short-term retracement to key support for the bulls, with risks and opportunities coexisting. Below are the multi-timeframe operation strategies:
---
【Daily】
Trend: From a high of 111.9K, it has fallen to the current price of 103.7K, having broken below the 10-day and 20-day moving averages, touching the 50-day moving average (approximately 102.8K) and the lower band, indicating a bullish retracement to verify strength and weakness. The MACD remains below the zero line, but the momentum bars are converging; the RSI is around 46, not yet in the oversold territory; the DMI shows that -DI slightly outperforms +DI, with the ADX around 27, indicating a weak trend, suggesting that bearish momentum is weakening. If the 50-day moving average holds and rebounds, it is expected to retest the 20-day moving average and the high trend line.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 100,372 (below this can go short)
🟢 Add Long:
- Best 104,252 ✅
- Last Support 103,348 ✅
- Final 102,546
🚀 Breakout Follow Long: 110,531 (if it stabilizes at 10-day/trend line can continue)
🎯 Take Profit: 116,807 → 126,965 → 137,123
---
【4 Hours】
Trend: The sharp decline has reached the hundred/two hundred period moving average range (approximately 100K–103K), and the 4H RSI <30 indicates oversold conditions, with a long lower shadow in the candlestick signaling a stop-loss. The MACD negative bars are clearly converging, and the DMI is still dominated by -DI but the momentum is slowing down, indicating a short-term rebound opportunity.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Trailing Stop Loss: 100,272 (below this cancels long position)
🟢 Add Long: 103,200–103,800 range (already included) ✅
🚀 Breakout Follow Long: 105,000 (breaking above the 20/50 period moving average can continue)
🎯 Take Profit: 104,500 → 105,500 → 106,800
---
【1 Hour】
Trend: 1H oversold conditions have intensified, with a significant drop in price breaking below the lower band and leaving a long lower shadow, indicating a technical rebound demand in the short term, but the rebound may be limited by daily pressure zones.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 105,000 (breakout reverses to long)
🟢 Add Short: 104,500–105,000 range
🚨 Break Below Follow Short: 103,200
🎯 Take Profit: 103,500 → 102,500 → 101,000
---
【Strategy Summary】
⚠️ Operation Suggestions:
1. For the short term, gradually go long in the 103.2–103.8K area, setting a stop loss at 100.3K;
2. If it rebounds to 104.5–105K, consider gradually taking profits or going short in the short term;
3. Medium-term long positions can hold until 110.5K; if it breaks below 100.3K, temporarily avoid or pay attention to the 99–97K support.
Today’s volatility is high, strictly adhere to stop losses, control positions, and respond flexibly to intraday changes.
---
