🔍 Market Overview
Price currently around 107,632 USDT, dipping from an intraday high of ~110,277 USDT .
On the H4 timeframe, Bitcoin is consolidating beneath a flag/pennant resistance (~110 K), while a Fair‑Value Gap (FVG) lies in the $105,700–106,800 zone .
Oscillators (MACD, KDJ) show bullish but slightly waning momentum, hinting at a possible pullback or consolidation .
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🔧 Intraday Signal Strategy (H4-Timeframe)
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Entry:
Option A: Breakout trade above the flag resistance (≈ 110,200 – 110,300 USDT), confirmed by a full 4‑hour candle close above this level.
Option B: Bounce trade, entering between $105,700–106,800 (FVG zone)—retest for support after a slight pullback.
Stop‑Loss:
For breakout: place just below breakout confirmation, around 109,500 USDT.
For bounce: below FVG, near 105,500 USDT.
Take‑Profit Targets:
TP1: 112,000 USDT (near prior resistance/FVG fill)
TP2: 114,000–115,000 USDT (as per measured flag extension)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Entry: Short if $BTC rejects near 110,200–110,300 USDT and forms a bearish H4 candle.
Stop‑Loss: Just above the rejection zone, around 111,000 USDT.
Take‑Profit:
Initial: 108,000 USDT
Further target: 106,000 USDT if momentum sustains, into the FVG.
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📊 Technical Rationale
1. FVG Support Zone ($105.7–106.8K) acts as a smart long-entry area, supported by prior analysis .
2. Bull Flag/Pennant Setup that typically leads to a continuation upward to ~115K .
3. Momentum indicators are still bullish (MACD positive, K > D on KDJ) but show signs of a short breather .
4. Rejection at resistance could signal a short-term pullback for prudent traders.
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✅ Trade Management Tips
Volume confirmation on breakout buys or bounce entries is key—low-volume moves often fail.
Adjust position sizing based on distance to stop‑loss (max 1–2% risk).
Trail stop to breakeven once the trade gains ~50–75% of its first TP to lock in profits and reduce risk.
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📌 Final Tip
Primary bias remains bullish—prefer buying the breakout or value near the FVG. However, a confirmed rejection near 110.3K becomes a short setup with clear risk parameters.