๐๏ธ Date: June 12, 2025
๐ฐ Current Price: $108,318.49 (-1.28%)
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๐ Key Changes vs Previous
Price fell from $109,632 โ $108,318
RSI dropped from 67.47 โ 57.86 = cooling momentum
MACD histogram weakened from +130.65 โ +57.05
Volume dipped: 2,015 BTC vs avg 12,045 BTC โ low buyer conviction
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๐ Technical Overview
โ Structure Still Bullish: Price remains above EMA(7/25/99)
โ ๏ธ Support Being Tested: EMA(7) = $107,808 acting as near-term floor
๐ Momentum Cooling: MACD histogram fading
๐ RSI: Neutral zone โ needs bounce above 60 for bullish confirmation
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๐งฑ Support & Resistance Zones
Support Levels:
$108,000โ$107,800 (EMA 7 zone + 24h low)
$105,864 (EMA 25) โ break below = deeper pullback
Resistance Levels:
$110,392 (24h high โ rejected)
$111,980 (key swing level)
$113,000 (breakout extension target)
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๐ฎ Price Prediction
โณ Short-Term (24โ48h)
๐ผ Bullish: Hold $107,800 โ bounce toward $109,500 โ $110,392
๐ฝ Bearish: Break below $107,800 โ drop to $106,000 โ $105,864
๐๏ธ Medium-Term (3โ7 days)
Hold $105,864 โ uptrend continues toward $111,980 โ $113,000
Close below $105,864 โ risk of larger drop to $102,733
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๐ง Trade Plan
๐ข Scalp Trade (Intraday)
1. Long Entry: $108,000โ$107,800 (EMA 7 zone)
โ Confirmation: Bullish 15m candle + RSI >50
๐ฏ Target: $109,000
๐ Stop Loss: $107,600
2. Short Entry: Break below $107,800 on high volume
๐ฏ Target: $107,000 โ $106,500
๐ Stop Loss: $108,100
๐ข Swing Trade (2โ3 Days)
1. Aggressive Long
Entry: $107,800 + 4h close above EMA(7)
Target: $110,392 โ $111,980
Stop: $107,500
2. Breakout Long
Entry: Close above $110,392 + volume >15K BTC
Target: $111,980 โ $113,000
Stop: Below $109,500
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๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Scalp: โค1.5% capital
Swing: โค2% capital
TP Strategy:
Scalp: 50% at $108,800, 50% at $109,200
Swing: 50% at $110,392, 50% at $111,980
SL Strategy: Max 1% capital at risk
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โ๏ธ Key Triggers to Watch
โ Bullish Setup:
RSI bounce from 55+
MACD histogram expanding
Volume surge over 12K BTC
โ Bearish Setup:
Close below $107,800 on rising volume
RSI <50 + MACD crossover threat
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โ Summary
BTC/USDT is testing critical support at $107,800:
Buy dips if price holds $107,800 (stop: $107,500)
Short breakdowns below $107,800 (target: $106,500)
Wait for confirmation before fresh longs if support cracks
๐ Exit all longs if 4h closes below $107,500
๐ฏ The next 24 hours will define trend direction โ trade with caution!
Take Trade From here ๐ $BTC
