The contract trading strategies you definitely need
Advanced Strategy: Three-Dimensional Probability Enhancement Model #BTC #ETH
1. Trend Resonance Trading Method (Core of Winning Rate) Trend Identification: Bullish Trend: Weekly MA60 slopes upward, prices close above the daily Bollinger Band midline for three consecutive days. Bearish Trend: Monthly MACD histogram continuously decreases in volume, prices break below the key Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. Precise Opening: Long: When there is a 'MACD bottom divergence + volume breaks 200% of the average line' on the 4-hour chart, stop loss set 2% below the previous swing low. Short: 1-hour RSI top divergence and price breaks below EMA9 fast line, stop loss placed 1.5 times ATR above the previous high. Dynamic Take Profit: Use a combination of 'trailing stop + Fibonacci extension levels', first target 38.2%, ultimate target 161.8%.
2. Oscillation Grid Strategy (Capital Utilization Optimization) Intelligent Partitioning: Mark oscillation range with TD sequence, dividing the price band into 5 levels (support 1-3, resistance 1-2). Use implied volatility (IV) to measure oscillation intensity; initiate grid when IV <30%. Batch Position Building: Support Level 1: 10% position, stop loss 0.5% outside the stop loss area; add 20% at Support Level 2, halve position at Resistance Level 1. Breakthrough Confirmation Signal: Continuous 2 candlestick bodies break and volume > 3 times the 20-day average volume.
3. Cross-Market Alpha Arbitrage Enhanced Futures-Spot Arbitrage: When the quarterly contract premium rate >8%, short the contract + hold the spot, simultaneously hedge funding rates (annual return increase 15-25%). Use perpetual contract funding rate prediction model, adjust positions 6 hours before rate reversal. Cross-Exchange Price Difference Capture: Develop API to monitor TOP5 exchanges' BTC/USDT price differences in real-time; trigger hedge orders when standard deviation >0.3%. Combine depth chart liquidity analysis, prioritize platforms with taker fees below 0.05%. Extreme Market Response Manual 1. Black Swan Event Response Process Phase One (0-5 minutes): Immediately close 50% of the reverse position, set remaining position ±3% market price stop loss. Phase Two (within 1 hour): Convert 30% margin to stablecoin, hedge tail risk by buying straddle options. Phase Three (24 hours): Analyze on-chain data (net inflow to exchanges, stablecoin supply ratio) to determine market sentiment turning point.
