⚡️ Today the inflation report (CPI) is released - at 4:15 PM(ET).
This is one of the key macroeconomic events, especially ahead of the Fed meeting next week.
Market forecast: +2.5% year-on-year . The previous figure was 2.3% . If inflation is higher, it would be the first increase in the CPI since February .
Here are the possible scenarios and their impact on the market:
🔽 CPI > 2.5%
Negative for the markets.
The higher than expected inflation growth is a strong blow to expectations of rate cuts. This could cause a serious correction in both the stock and crypto markets.
😐 CPI = 2.5%
Neutral reaction: a slight drawdown is possible, which may be followed by a rebound. Given the current positive background, even neutral data may be interpreted by the market as a bullish signal.
🔼 CPI < 2.5%
This is the best-case scenario for bulls. Markets (including Bitcoin and alts) could rally. Lower-than-expected inflation would boost confidence in the Fed’s easy policy.
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