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Graceful Gains
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Graceful Gains
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my #BTC prediction for short trade.
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What if I say we`re already in Bullish Market? $BTC $ETH $SOL
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Understanding Open Interest and Funding Rate. Funding Rate + Increasing OI: If the funding rate is significantly positive or negative and open interest is rising, it could indicate an overcrowded trade. For example, if the funding rate is highly positive and open interest is increasing, it might mean too many traders are long, which could lead to a squeeze if the market moves against them. Bullish Trend + Increasing Open Interest: If open interest is increasing during an uptrend, it suggests that more participants are entering long positions, which could be a sign of a strong, sustained bullish trend.Bearish Trend + Increasing Open Interest: If open interest is increasing during a downtrend, it suggests that more participants are entering short positions, which could confirm a strong, sustained bearish trend. Suppose Bitcoin is in an uptrend, and you notice that open interest is increasing alongside the price. This suggests that the uptrend might continue as new money is backing the rise. However, if you notice a sudden spike in open interest without significant price movement, it might be a sign that a large number of positions are being established, potentially leading to increased volatility or even a reversal if the price starts to drop.
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Chart Analysis: Price Channel: The chart shows a descending channel (with shaded regions), indicating a bearish trend where the price is generally moving downward within this channel.The upper boundary of the channel represents resistance, while the lower boundary represents support. Key Fibonacci Levels: 0.19 Fibonacci Level (~67,014.15 USDT): This level appears to be acting as a mid-range resistance level within the channel.0.38 Fibonacci Level (~60,130.69 USDT): This level is significant as the price is hovering around it, indicating that it could act as a support or resistance zone. Support and Resistance: Resistance: Around the 67,014 USDT level and near the top of the descending channel.Support: The 0.38 Fibonacci level (around 60,130 USDT) and the lower boundary of the channel (around 54,936 USDT). Supertrend Indicator: The chart has a Supertrend indicator (likely set to 10,3), which is currently in a bearish phase, indicating that the overall market sentiment is bearish. Potential Future Movements: Bearish Scenario: If the price continues to respect the descending channel and fails to break above the 60,130 USDT level (0.38 Fibonacci), it could head lower toward the next support level around 54,936 USDT or the lower boundary of the channel.Bullish Scenario: If BTC manages to break out of the descending channel, particularly if it breaks above the 67,014 USDT level (0.19 Fibonacci), it could signal a reversal, with the price possibly moving toward the 73,897 USDT level and beyond. Summary: The current trend is bearish, with BTC trading within a descending channel. Key levels to watch are 60,130 USDT (support) and 67,014 USDT (resistance). A break below or above these levels could indicate the next significant move for Bitcoin.
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