Shiba Inu Coin (SHIB) Could Surpass Dogecoin (DOGE) by 2030: Three Key Logics

Since its inception in 2020, Shiba Inu Coin (SHIB) has experienced a 85.6% pullback from its historical high. However, as a meme coin benchmarked against Dogecoin (DOGE), its potential to surpass DOGE by 2030 is gradually emerging, with the following core driving factors:

1. Deflationary Mechanism Creates Scarcity Dogecoin (DOGE) inherently lacks a price anchoring foundation due to its infinite inflation design. In contrast, SHIB has a fixed total supply of 589 trillion coins, and the team is developing a new burning mechanism (reportedly, trillions of coins will be burned annually). Although the current high circulation suppresses the unit price, the realization of a deflationary mechanism would significantly enhance token scarcity — referencing burning cases like LUNC, the token price often surges during deflationary cycles due to supply-demand imbalance, providing a foundational logic for SHIB's price increase.

2. Shibarium Ecosystem Empowers Value The second-layer network of SHIB, Shibarium, has entered a substantial development phase, aiming to create a “meme coin + utility” ecosystem. This network can expand SHIB’s applications in scenarios such as DeFi, NFTs, etc., by reducing transaction costs and improving processing efficiency (e.g., pet-themed DAO governance, virtual asset trading, etc.). If the number of Shibarium users exceeds ten million before 2030, SHIB will upgrade from a mere meme coin to a functional token with ecosystem support, aligning its valuation logic closer to public chains like Ethereum.

3. Release of Cryptocurrency Market Cycle Benefits Industry forecasts suggest that the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies could exceed $100 trillion by 2030 (currently around $1.2 trillion). If Bitcoin (BTC) breaks $100,000 during this period, it will lead the entire market into a “super cycle.” As a meme coin in the top 20 by market cap, SHIB typically exhibits higher elasticity in bull markets — during the 2021 bull run, SHIB surged by 4 million%, far exceeding DOGE’s 40-fold increase. If the market repeats a “large-cap drives small-cap” trend, SHIB’s high volatility may help its market cap surpass DOGE.

Risk Warning: SHIB's logic for surpassing DOGE highly depends on the progress of ecosystem implementation and market bull-bear cycles. Its current lack of actual revenue support remains unchanged, and investors should be cautious of risks such as the deflationary mechanism underperforming expectations, changes in regulatory policies, and other risks. In the long term, the competitive landscape of the meme coin space remains highly uncertain.