BTC Today's Situation: The Main Force Sets Up a Death Arena at 105K, Retail Investors on the Edge of Life and Death
Golden Quote Opening
"In the crypto world, a day is like ten years in the human world. Today's BTC is a life-and-death arena set up by Wall Street crocodiles — either step on corpses to pick up money or become crocodile bait!"
Long and Short Meat Grinder Revealed
Price Struggle of a Cornered Beast:
Bitcoin is squeezed between the iron floor of $104,200 and the high pressure line of $106,900, with the latest price of $105,300 feeling precarious. Although the MACD shows red bars, the fast and slow lines are still below the zero axis, forming a "Underwater Golden Cross" trap, with historical statistics showing that such patterns have an 83% probability of false breakouts.
Volume Revealed:
The rebound trading volume in the early morning was only 70% of the previous high, and signs of market manipulation are obvious. On-chain evidence: a certain whale transferred $420 million BTC to exchanges in a single day, creating the largest sell pressure since February.
Tonight's Nuclear Explosion Three Scenarios
20:30 US CPI Determines Life and Death:
Above Expectations: BTC flash crashes to $103,145
Meets Expectations: Spikes to $106,500 then falls back, with 21,000 BTC shorts from institutions like BlackRock pressing down here
Below Expectations: Instant surge to $107,500 but do not chase! $109,000 has 18,000 put options buried, which previously killed 30,000 retail investors
Musk vs. Trump Sequel:
The two giants tearing each other apart caused BTC’s 30-day volatility to soar to 79%, allowing the main force to take the opportunity to clean up leveraged positions.
Main Force Butchery Technique 2.0 Upgrade
Retail Investor Life-Saving Mantra
Current Price Taboo:
Must clear positions 30 minutes before CPI! When May data was released, there was a $3000 volatility in 5 minutes, and the 1.7 billion liquidation incident is still fresh in memory.
Breakout Pursuit Iron Rule:
True breakout: stabilize above $106,900 and 15-minute trading volume > 6,500 BTC, target $107,500-$108,000, stop loss at $105,800. True breakdown: fall below $104,200 to short, target $103,145-$101,000, stop loss at $104,500.
Leverage Red Line:
Over 3x leverage = a death sentence! Current BTC hourly volatility is $450, with a 76% liquidation rate at 3x leverage.
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