In the coming month, the BTC trend may rise first and then fall. Recently, the price has shown an upward trend. Although there was pressure and fluctuations on June 8, it successfully defended the psychological level of 100,000 USD beforehand. Additionally, factors such as positive ETF capital flows and improved market sentiment support this. If it can break through the resistance of 106,000 USD, it is expected to reach 107,000 - 110,000 USD. However, the VWAP channel pressure and MACD divergence indicate resistance to the rise. If it falls below 104,500 USD, it may correct to 100,000 - 102,000 USD. Overall, the probability of an increase is slightly higher, but caution is needed regarding market volatility risks.