💵💰#TrumpVsMusk #KouachiSignals $SHIB $BTC 💥💰
💵🚀A comprehensive technical analysis of the last hour of $SHIB (Binance Futures) candlestick on the 1H timeframe, supported by Fibonacci levels, daily pivot points, and technical indicators, with a glimpse of news and open interest:
01. Trading plan and scenarios for June 7, 2025, at 10:45:
Buy scenario (long):
Entry above the EMA25 (0.012540) or when the price tests the 0.01270–0.01275 area (previously Retest EMA99).
Targets:
First at R1 = 0.012848
Second at R2 = 0.013290
Stop Loss: Below the last hourly low of 0.012756
Sell Scenario (Short):
If the price fails to hold above R1 = 0.012848 and rebounds downward with the RSI approaching oversold,
Primary and Secondary Targets:
First at PP = 0.012385 or 38% Fib = 0.012481
Second at S1 = 0.011943
⚠️ Avoid trading 30 minutes before the release of strong economic data (CPI, NFP, etc.).
Forecast Summary:
Short-term momentum is bullish with a possible test of resistance at ~0.01285–0.01290, but the two higher trends (4H, Daily, Weekly) remain bearish by most indications. Selling when the resistance test fails will keep the risk limited, while buying may be beneficial if confirmed by a clear break above R1 and higher volume.
I wish you successful trading, and I will follow up with you moment by moment to assess the accuracy of the forecast!
2. General Context and Higher Timeframe Trend
Weekly: The last candle opened at 0.014468 and declined to 0.012940 before closing around 0.0130, below the EMA25 and EMA99, confirming a medium-term bearish bias.
Daily: The last candle (0.011999 → 0.012406) recorded an intermediate close, but the price remains below the daily MA99 resistance, indicating selling pressure on the daily timeframe.
3. Daily Pivot Levels
Today's calculations based on (High+Low+Close)/3:
PP = (0.012827 + 0.011922 + 0.012406) / 3 = 0.012385
R1 = 2×PP – Low = 0.012848
R2 = PP + (High–Low) = 0.013290
S1 = 2×PP – High = 0.011943
S2 = PP – (High–Low) = 0.011480
Key: A break of 0.012848 confirms hourly buying power; a break of 0.011943 opens the door to 0.01148.
4. Fibonacci Levels (Retracement from the low of 0.011922 to the high of 0.012827)
38.2%: 0.012827 – 0.382×(0.012827 – 0.011922) = 0.012481
61.8%: 0.012827 – 0.618×(0.012827 – 0.011922) = 0.012268
These two levels represent potential retracement points if the price pulls back from the current point.
5. Technical Indicators on the Hourly Chart
EMA7 (1H) = 0.012691, EMA25 = 0.012540, EMA99 = 0.012752: The current price of 0.012805 is above three levels, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
MACD (12, 26, 9): Almost indicating a bullish crossover above the zero line – moderate positive momentum.
RSI (14): Fluctuating around 60 – far from oversold (>70), indicating a slight upside potential before reaching oversold areas.
6. Volume, News, and Open Interest
Volume: Around 73 million in the last candle versus SMA(9) of ~70 million, indicating mild buying momentum.
Open interest fell 3% on Binance and 7% on Bybit, reflecting caution among futures traders.
fxleaders.com
$36 million whale trade not triggered sell offers, but rather an accumulation move.
coindesk.com
Very important: Burn rate increased 2408% in 24 hours, with the majority of short positions liquidated – potentially signaling a sudden short squeeze.
themarketperiodical.com