Bitcoin staged a high and pullback after the non-farm data was released, with the current price constrained by the key resistance level of $105,000. From the analysis of the 4-hour technical chart, the RSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, and the MACD momentum indicator has shown a bearish divergence, with dual signals indicating that the short-term upward momentum is significantly weakening. If the Bitcoin price cannot effectively break through the resistance range of $105,000-$105,500, it is very likely to form a double top pattern, which could trigger a deep retracement.

In terms of key levels, $105,000 has become a watershed fiercely contested by both bulls and bears. The lower level of $104,000 serves as the first line of defense, and if this support level is breached, the price may accelerate downward, testing the secondary support range of $102,000-$103,000. Although the current market sentiment is generally optimistic, the overbought signals released by technical indicators should not be ignored, and investors need to be highly vigilant about the risk of a high-level pullback.

In terms of operational strategy, investors holding short positions can continue to hold, setting the stop-loss above $105,600 to control risk. Risk-tolerant aggressive traders can lightly position short near the $105,000 resistance level, targeting a price of $103,000. Long position holders are advised to appropriately reduce positions near $105,000 to lock in profits. If the price breaks below the key support of $104,000, decisive exit and wait-and-see are recommended. In tonight's trading session, it is suggested to pay close attention to the offensive and defensive situation at the $105,000 level, as a breakthrough or failure at this point will directly affect the short-term trend direction. #我的COS交易 #非农就业数据来袭 #​​Metaplanet拟筹资增持比特币​ #​​Metaplanet拟筹资增持比特币​ #特朗普马斯克分歧