As the crypto market gradually enters the latter half of the bull market cycle, investors are full of expectations for XRP's future trend. So, by the end of 2025, how much will 2,000 XRP actually be worth? Recently, renowned analyst Steph proposed two possible development paths in a deeply analytical video, combining market data and technical charts to provide investors with reference answers under different scenarios.
Will XRP's market share rebound, can it replicate its glory?
XRP once shone during the crypto boom in 2017, with a market share that once approached 30%. However, in the past few years, this share has declined significantly, currently remaining at about 4%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) occupy about 62% and 10% of the market share, respectively.
But Steph pointed out that as XRP breaks away from the long-term downward channel and shows signs of recovery, if its market share can rebound in this bull market and return to its previous glorious levels, its price may also experience a qualitative leap. Using Mlion.ai's on-chain data analysis tools, it can also be found that in the past quarter, XRP's on-chain trading activity and holding distribution are quietly improving, with some long-term funds flowing back.
Based on this, he proposed two future scenario assumptions.
Scenario One: Market capitalization stabilizes, XRP price hits $17.
Under a more conservative assumption, Steph believes that by the end of 2025, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies will remain around the current $3.48 trillion. If XRP can regain 30% of the market share, the price is expected to rise to about $17.10.
According to this prediction, investors holding 2,000 XRP will have an asset value of $34,200 by then. Compared to the current market value of about $4,650, this means a potential return of up to 635%, which is quite considerable.
It should be noted that this scenario assumes that other crypto assets perform poorly overall, and only XRP achieves significant growth, thus it is a relatively conservative and idealized assumption.
Scenario Two: Market capitalization doubles, XRP hits $34.
In a more optimistic scenario, Steph assumes that the total market capitalization of the crypto market will double during the bull market cycle, reaching $6.96 trillion. In this larger environment, if XRP's market share remains at 30%, its price is expected to rise to $34.20.
This means that the holding value of 2,000 XRP will soar to $68,400, an increase of over 1,370% compared to the current investment value. Considering the increasing number of institutions laying out XRP-related ETF products and incorporating them into treasury assets, the potential influx of long-term funds may become an important variable driving the market capitalization to double.
With the institutional fund flow monitoring feature of Mlion.ai, users can also track the dynamic changes in XRP's funding situation and capture potential trends in advance.
Technical endorsement: The double bottom pattern indicates a strong rebound.
In addition to the macro market cap assumption, Steph also pointed out that technically, XRP is forming a standard 'double bottom' pattern (W shape) on a monthly chart. Once it breaks through the neckline and stabilizes above the historical high, XRP may welcome a new round of main rising wave.
It is worth noting that according to traditional calculation methods, the target price corresponding to this pattern is about $30, which basically aligns with the expectations of Scenario Two, forming a rare resonance between technical and fundamental aspects.
However, he also cautiously reminds that there is still considerable uncertainty about whether it can recover to a 30% market share. Even if it can only return to a level of 15%-20% in the future, XRP is still expected to bring multiple returns.
Conclusion: 2,000 XRP, worth looking forward to but needs rationality.
Overall, whether it's a conservative prediction or an optimistic assumption, XRP is expected to bring considerable investment returns in the next one to two years. However, market developments are full of uncertainty, especially in the context of increasing turbulence in the crypto market, making rational allocation and dynamic adjustment particularly important.
For investors who want to grasp the on-chain dynamics and market sentiment changes of XRP in real-time, it is advisable to use Mlion.ai's on-chain analysis, price prediction, and sentiment radar modules to assist in making more scientific decisions and seizing potential cyclical opportunities.
Disclaimer: The above content is for informational sharing only and does not constitute any investment advice!
