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The AI sector is generating $60 billion in revenue against $400 billion in spending this year, with the gap filled by circular financing and off-balance-sheet debt. CoreWeave exemplifies this: the company uses Nvidia's money to buy Nvidia's chips and rents them back to Nvidia while spending $20 billion against $5 billion in revenue. The company has $14 billion in debt due within a year and $34 billion in lease payments starting through 2028. The Structure Nvidia invested $100 billion in OpenAI. OpenAI has $300 billion in agreements with Oracle, $38 billion with Amazon, $22 billion with CoreWeave. Meta built a $27 billion data center using special-purpose vehicles to keep debt off its balance sheet. Several companies got GPU-backed loans by posting chips as collateral. Private-equity firms lent $450 billion to tech and will lend another $800 billion over two years. The Fed estimates a quarter of bank loans to nonbank institutions now go to private-credit firms.Life insurers have $1 trillion tied up in private credit. The sector is spending $400 billion but only bringing in $60 billion, with the gap filled by debt and circular financing. CoreWeave spending four times what it earns while using Nvidia's money to buy Nvidia's chips is financial engineering, not a sustainable business. OpenAI generates $10 billion but needs $50 billion annually just for Oracle and will lose $15 billion this year. Only Nvidia makes money because everyone else is buying chips on credit hoping for future profits. Meta hiding $27 billion off its balance sheet using special-purpose vehicles is the same technique Enron and banks used before 2008. GPU-backed loans create cascade risk when chip prices fall, similar to housing collateral before the financial crisis. Private-equity firms have $450 billion in tech loans with zero disclosure requirements, and life insurers have $1 trillion tied up. If AI loans fail, private credit fails, which could bring down banks and insurers because they're all connected. $BTC

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