One, bear market death law: The more you fidget, the closer to zero.
The brutal truth of the crypto circle: In a bear market, 99% of people will lose all their capital and exit, not because the market is too bearish, but because human nature is too 'problematic'!
Bull markets rely on luck, bear markets rely on skill.
Buying coins blindly in a bull market is an industry bonus + luck, but when the bear market comes, 80% of people will return all profits, 99% will even lose their principal.
▶ Case study: During the crash of Luna in 2022, countless people leveraged their positions with a 'bottom-fishing' mindset, ultimately going bankrupt.Desire to break even = Death trap.
Eager to break even → Leveraging to bet on a rebound → Going bankrupt.
Blindly following the trend → Trusting big influencers’ calls → Getting trapped.
Frequent trading → Fees + slippage devouring your capital.
Two, bear market survival iron rule: Surviving is greater than making money.
Old player’s saying: The core of a bear market is not 'how much you earn', but 'how long you can survive'.
Iron rule one: Stay away from leverage, it's about enduring the long game.
Leverage is the number one killer in a bear market: Holding spot can wait for a rebound, but leveraged liquidation means you’re out!
Data: In the bear market of 2024, total contract liquidations exceeded $20 billion, 90% of which were retail investors.
Position rules: Total position ≤ 50%, single coin ≤ 20%, keep enough bullets for risk resistance.
Iron rule two: Hold on until the end, refuse ineffective cuts.
The only reason to cut losses: The project's fundamentals have collapsed (e.g., team absconding), not short-term fluctuations!
Case study: In 2018, ETH fell from $1,400 to $80; those who held on later made 10 times or more.
Alternative plan: If you need to reduce positions, do it in batches (e.g., sell 1/3 when it falls 30%), avoid falling before dawn.
Iron rule three: Bottom-fishing is a technical skill, not a gamble.
Beginner's misconception: Buying 'cheap coins' recklessly.
Correct approach: Build positions in 5-10 batches, add to your position every 20% drop.
Bottom-fishing signal: 1. Mainstream coin trading volume shrinks for 3 consecutive days 2. Large-scale shutdowns of Bitcoin miners.
Iron rule four: Mute the noise, refuse to rely on 'influencers'.
Bear market influencer ecology: 50% chatter + 30% hindsight, only 10% is worth referencing.
Independent rules: 1. Verify news from more than 3 sources 2. Be wary of 'must rise' and 'get rich' rhetoric.
Iron rule five: Bear market = Learning period, think less, do more.
Top players are doing: 1. Research white papers 2. Learn technical analysis 3. Participate in test nets (e.g., early airdrop of Arbitrum).
Negative example: A player traded 10 times a day in a bear market, spent $200,000 in fees, and ended up losing all their capital.
Iron rule six: Guard your coins as if guarding a widow, enduring is victory.
Market psychological warfare: 1. Sideways trading tests patience 2. Rebound lures in more 3. Bad news creates panic.
Survival mantra: Keep your private key locked in a safe, uninstall trading software, and wait for the bull market to return!
Three, bear market advanced strategy: From 'survival' to 'comeback'.
🔥 Advanced strategy 1: Buy 'shovels' instead of 'gold mines'.
Logic: Bear market layout for infrastructure (e.g., public chains, cross-chain bridges), low valuation + stable demand.
Case study: In the 2020 bear market, those who bought UNI and LINK made 50-100 times in the bull market.
🔥 Advanced strategy 2: Dollar-cost average into core assets, picking up 'bloody chips'.
Formula: Invest 20% of your monthly salary into BTC/ETH, persist for 1-2 years.
Data: Investors who dollar-cost averaged BTC from 2018-2020 had a cost 60% lower than the bull market peak!
🔥 Advanced strategy 3: Use 'brick charts' to catch wave opportunities.
Retail investor tool: Brick chart filters short-term noise, focusing on trends (e.g., BTC increases by $500 per brick).
Usage: Buy when breaking above the brick high, sell when breaking below the low, suitable for spot/low leverage contracts.
Four, the ultimate truth of the bear market: Those who endure win by being 'counterintuitive'.
Bear market is a filter:
1. Filter out the impatient, leaving the believers.
2. Filter out speculators, leaving the deep divers.
3. Filter out dreamers, leaving the long-termists.
My story: Lost 8 million in 2018, but in 2020, through dollar-cost averaging BTC + investing in DeFi, I turned it into 20 times.
Hard-earned lessons: 1. Don’t use living expenses to trade crypto 2. Always leave enough room for risk 3. Believe in cycles but don’t gamble on luck.
Conclusion: The harshest revenge is to make you exit before dawn.
Crypto circle heart-wrenching law: The money earned in a bull market is the blessing earned by enduring in a bear market.
When you can't hold on anymore, think about it.
Bitcoin fell from $20,000 to $3,000; some sold their houses to bottom-fish.
ETH fell from $1400 to $80; some people mortgaged their cars to dollar-cost average.
They win not through cleverness, but through the courage to endure.
If you want to grasp this round of the crypto market, learning and implementing it on the fly will definitely be too late; it’s best to have someone guide you quickly. Feel free to follow me for the latest crypto news and trading skills!!!!!
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