Bitcoin news flash: After the non-farm payroll crash, a decisive battle at 106K!

When data rings, gold is worth a lot; when policies shake, the crypto circle sifts through!

News: The 'ice and fire' of policies and data

Non-farm payroll shock, interest rate hike expectations rise
The U.S. added 372,000 non-farm jobs in May (expected 280,000), triggering panic over the Fed accelerating interest rate hikes, Bitcoin plummeted 14% in one hour, with a daily volatility of 18%, reaching a quarterly high

National team enters the market, strategic reserves provide a bottom
The Trump administration launches 'U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve', Pakistan follows up with a national mining plan, both countries include Bitcoin as an anti-inflation asset, institutional whales accelerate accumulation (such as Brazil's Meliuz issuing shares to hoard BTC)

Rate cut expectations lay the groundwork
U.S. core PCE inflation falls to 2.52%, if the Fed cuts rates in June, history shows BTC may temporarily spike to $120,000 (2024 rate cuts previously pushed BTC from $60,000 to $108,000)

Technical analysis: The 'death line' on the four-hour chart

MACD: Death cross confirmed, green bars turning red, bearish energy not exhausted, beware of a second bottom test

Bollinger Bands: Opening downward, price closely touching the lower band ($92,910), middle band at $105,000 becomes strong resistance, breakthrough needed to reverse

Support: $103,000 (Fibonacci 0.236) + psychological level of $100,000

Resistance: $106,000–$106,500 (20/50-day moving average death cross zone), only stable above can we hope to challenge the previous high of $111,980

Operation summary: Defensive counterattack, keep a close eye on three signals

Short-term: Before breaking through $106,500 with volume, reduce positions on rebounds, stop loss if it falls below $103,000.

Medium to long term: Gradual layouts below $100,000, betting on June rate cuts + national reserve catalysts (target $120,000)

Breakthrough at 106.5K + MACD contraction → follow up on long positions;

Breaking 100,000 with volume → Cautious observation

Aftershocks from non-farm payrolls linger, expectations for rate cuts resurface, a decisive battle at the 106K level—will it be a squat jump or a waterfall drop?

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