Trump's explosive remarks, tariffs about to restart, can BTC hold 100k?

1. Bitcoin (BTC) intraday trend analysis

1. Current position and resistance/support

Price range: Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation and correction phase, with short-term resistance in the 106,400-107,800 range. A breakthrough needs to pay attention to the strong resistance at 108,000 (suppressed by liquidity gaps).

Key support:

 First support: 104,800 (short-term bullish-bearish dividing line, has been recovered but needs to confirm effectiveness);

 Second support: 103,400 (if broken, it may trigger a long liquidation, dropping to 100,000-101,000).

2. Technical patterns and momentum

4-hour level: Operating along the 200-day moving average, unable to stabilize above 106,000 before correcting. The 20-day moving average provides short-term support, but the rebound momentum is insufficient, and the main force may lure bulls into liquidating shorts through a "false breakout."

Liquidity distribution: There are a large number of long orders near 103,400, becoming a liquidity "hunting zone"; if the price quickly breaks below, it may trigger accelerated declines.

3. Trading suggestions

Short opportunities: If the price rebounds to the 106,400-107,800 range, short positions can be taken in batches, targeting 104,800-103,400;

Long positions cautiously: Avoid chasing long positions before effectively stabilizing above 106,000; if it drops sharply to 103,400, light positions can be taken to bet on a rebound.

2. Ethereum (ETH) intraday trend analysis

1. Relative strength and market position

Recently, Ethereum has outperformed Bitcoin in the rebound (previous gains of 110% vs. 30%), but is currently constrained by the overall correction pressure of Bitcoin.

Key resistance: 1,960 (if held, it avoids returning to the consolidation zone), and a breakthrough is expected to test the psychological level of 2,000.

2. Technical aspects and position structure

Selling pressure analysis: Most holding costs are in the 3,000-4,000 range; the current price (about 1,800) has light selling pressure but needs to be wary of Bitcoin's drag.

Oversold rebound potential: If it strengthens independently, it may quickly recover the 1,900-1,920 range, but it requires Bitcoin to stabilize.

3. Trading suggestions

Mainly wait and see: Consider buying low after waiting for a pullback to the 1,780-1,800 support zone;

Linked risk: If Bitcoin falls below 103,400, Ethereum may follow down to below 1,750. #wct $WCT