First of all, let me tell you—no one in the world can tell you exactly when a bull run will begin or when a bear market will hit. That’s the truth. What we do in trading is predict possibilities based on experience and knowledge. And remember, a prediction is never a guarantee—it’s just a possibility. It can happen, or it can’t. Simple.

Many traders on Binance Square—and even one of my own teachers—are now saying the bull run is over and the bear market is knocking at the door. I haven’t asked them why they believe that, and honestly, I don't know why this has suddenly become the consensus on social media. But my analysis, Alhamdulillah ♥️, is completely different. Maybe I’m wrong. But I always stand by my analysis.

So let’s get into it.

Let me first show you the BTC chart where this whole panic is coming from. Yes, in this chart, BTC has made the same moves and same candles like from where the last bear market began. It looks scary, I agree. But that’s not the full picture.

Chart No.1

Now, let’s look at the BTC Dominance chart. In 2017 and 2021, BTC dominance crashed brutally right before the alts season. This time, however, it’s still in an uptrend. I’ve already marked a red line on the chart, and I believe that after a final slight pump in BTC, this line will be touched. Then, In Shaa Allah, BTC dominance will crash—so deep that it may feel like there is no bottom.

Chart No.2

Next, let's go to the third chart—Altcoin Dominance. Look at the parabolic moves from 2017 and 2021. Now compare it to 2024–2025. We haven’t even seen that kind of move yet. On 7 April 2024, I spent all my funds buying alt coins confidently, believing that we had entered the bull market and that every dip from here would be an opportunity. At that time, there was no liquidity left under the bottom of most coins. And since then, what have we seen? Just a few higher highs and high lows. That means the real move is still ahead.

Chart No.3

Now finally, the $BTC chart again. I still believe BTC has one more leg up—towards the 115K to 120K range. From there, I’m expecting a sharp correction down to 93K–88K, or in the worst-case scenario, even to 67K. This drop will make everyone panic. People will sell at a loss, thinking the bear market is here. But my friends, I believe that exact drop will be the turning point. BTC will make all time high round about 135K - 140K.. That’s when the real altseason will begin.

Chart No.4

Timing matters too. The weather, the months—these things align in cycles. It’s a longer discussion, but I truly believe the altcoin season will kick off around October 2025 and continue till February 2026. I have already shared logical post, “When the Bull Run Will Really Begin”—if you haven’t read it, you should.

This process can take weeks and also months to happen.. We can predict the direction.. we can't predict the time 😔

A humble disclaimer: I’ve never claimed to be an analyst. I’m just a trader—simple and honest—who shares his journey and experience. What I write may be wrong, and that’s okay. I’m here to support you, not sell dreams. Don’t trust anyone blindly—not even me. This is my theory which could be 100% wrong. Do your own research and always manage your trades with discipline.

And remember: All glory, all praise belongs to Allah Almighty♥️.

#MyCOSTrade #BullRunAhead #RoughTraderPk #BTC #AltSeasonComing