Prediction of BTC Trend in the Next 24 Hours

Key Technical Levels:

* Resistance Level: $106,200 (4-hour Bollinger Band Upper Limit + Dense Short Liquidation Area)

* Support Level: $104,800 (Bull-Bear Divide + Institutional Cost Line)

* Indicator Signals: 4-hour MACD Golden Cross Initial Appearance, RSI (62) Neutral to Strong, if it breaks through $106,200 with volume, it may trigger $680 million in short liquidation.

Bull-Bear Catalysts:

* Bullish: Elon Musk Concept Fermentation, European Compliant Funds Entering Market, Whale Bottom Buying Signals

* Bearish: ENA Unlocking Selling Pressure, FCA New Regulations Suppressing Innovation, Risk Aversion Ahead of Non-Farm Data

Probability Distribution:

* Consolidation ($104,800 - $106,200): 45% (Waiting for Non-Farm Data Guidance)

* Rebound (Breakthrough $106,200): 35% (Requires XChat User Count Exceeding One Million or ETF Inflow Exceeding $300 Million)

* Drop (Break Below $104,800): 20% (ENA Selling Pressure Spreading + Leveraged Long Liquidation)

💡 Operation Suggestions

* Short-term: Current Price $105,600 Light Positions Long, Stop Loss $104,300, Target $107,500; If it breaks down through $104,800, switch to short down to $103,000.